Page 14 - The Indian EYE 021122
P. 14

Op-ED                                                              FEBRUARY 11, 2022  |      The Indian Eye 14


              The Good, The BAd And





          The uGly of BudGeT 2022





                                   Views and opinions from the top commentators in Indian media



              he Budget speech this year had
              a fundamentally different tone
        Tthan all the past ones in that it
        did not mention any benefits targeted
        at specific groups such as the Sched-
        uled Castes, Scheduled Tribes, OBCs,
        women, widows or the elderly. The
        only exception proving the rule was
        a small benefit for differently abled
        children. The speech instead focused
        on  the  development  of  specific  sec-
        tors and specific regions.
            The  implicit  view  taken  by  the
        finance  minister  seems  to  be  that
        specific schemes for specific groups
        already exist and the scarce time of
        the Parliament and the nation must
        be devoted to outlining the road
        map of development, which is for
        everyone. So, development is what
        got the FM’s undivided attention.
        This was particularly admirable at a
        time  when  many  pundits  were  pre-
        dicting the speech to be a laundry
        list of giveaways to every conceivable
        group in view of the impending elec-
        tions in five states.             Railway porters watch the live telecast of Union Budget 2022-23 on a mobile phone outside the Patna Railway Station in Bihar on Tuesday (ANI)
               -- Arvind Panagariya,
                The Times of India
                                              Externally, the oil price is on the   India has seen one of the biggest   GDP. Next year’s fiscal deficit is go-
                                          rise, with many expecting it to reach   increases in the number of poor and   ing to be 6.4% of GDP, much higher
              he budget, by doing nothing   $100 per barrel soon. The Modi gov-  hungry people in the world in recent   than expected. The  interest  burden
              either for alleviating distress
        Tor for reviving the economy,     ernment, whose revenue comes sub-  years. The data on employment are   has  grown almost 40%  in just two
                                          stantially from taxing petro-products,  horrific, especially for a country that
                                                                                                              years; about half of India’s taxes now
        shows  not  just  a  lack  of  concern;  it
        is dangerous because all indications   will then have to pass on the higher   was supposed to gain from a demo-  go to paying off interest on the gov-
                                                                            graphic dividend. Private investment
                                                                                                              ernment’s debt.
                                          import price to the consumers for
        point to a worsening of the situation   fear of losing revenue otherwise,  is sluggish despite the massive and   The government’s response?
        because of both internal and external
        developments. Internally, whatev-  which will only exacerbate domestic   repeated incentives being thrown the   Squeeze spending on everything ex-
                                          inflation. What is more, the near-ze-
                                                                            way of some big corporates. Public
                                                                                                              cept infrastructure. There’s a clear
        er recovery has occurred in 2021-22   ro interest rate policy pursued in the   spending during the pandemic has   and coherent principle behind this
        relative to 2019-20 has not touched   US and elsewhere till now, which   been miserly and very inadequate,  strategy, one that India’s Finance
        real consumption expenditure, which   had enabled India to access global   making India an outlier even among   Minister Nirmala Sitharaman spelled
        continues to be below its 2019-20 lev-
        el. The level of capacity utilization in   financial  flows  easily  for  balancing   other middle-income countries. This   out in her speech to Parliament. The
                                                                            has deprived most Indians of their
                                                                                                              private sector is not investing, so the
                                          its external payments, is coming to
        consumer goods sectors,  therefore,   an end because of the acceleration of   basic socio-economic rights and es-  public sector has to do so and hope
        cannot be higher than in 2019-20. In
        fact, since there has been some addi-  inflation there.             sential public services during a pe-  that “crowds in” a virtuous cycle of
                                                                                                              investment and growth. The only
                                                                            riod of health crisis and economic
                                            -- Prabhat Patnaik, Indian Express
        tion to capacity meanwhile, because                                 devastation.                      problem is that the government has
        of the lagged effect of investment      he  finance  minister  and  her   -- Jayati Ghosh, The Telegraph (India)  been  trying  this  very  trick  for  over
        decisions taken earlier, unutilized ca-  ministry have betrayed, once                                 five years and it still hasn’t worked.
        pacity in these sectors has obviously  Tagain, their lack of understand-  he federal borrowing program,
        increased, which means that invest-  ing of the Indian economy or the con-  at over $200 billion in the com-  -- Mihir Sharma, The Print
        ment will come down, and its mul-  ditions under which most Indians are  Ting financial year (which starts   Every week, we look at what the top
        tiplier  effects on consumption will   living today. Despite attempts to ‘talk   on April 1 in India), is likely to strain   commentators in the Indian media are
        make it shrink further. This recovery,  up’ the supposed recovery, the econ-  financial  markets.  Meanwhile,  debt   talking about and bring to you a slice
        therefore, unlike what the Economic   omy is weak and most people are   has soared since the pandemic began   of their opinions and comments
        Survey predicts, cannot last.     hurting.                          and now hovers at around 90% of
                                                               www.TheIndianEYE.com
   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19