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OPINION                                                          SEPTEMBER 27, 2024        |  The Indian Eye 11



        New Guinea in 2023. Based on this                                                                     and nature of this contestation. This
        cooperation arrangement, the Unit-                                                                    is evident from the growing footprint
        ed States in April 2024 expressed                                                                     of the United States and its open
        its intention to renovate the existing                                                                invitation for its extra-regional part-
        facilities  and  also  construct  a Re-                                                               ners, mainly from Europe, to join the
        gional  Maritime  Training  Centre  in                                                                bandwagon.
        Lombrum Naval Base in Papua New                                                                           Given its escalatory impact, this
        Guinea’s Los Negros Island, which is                                                                  ad hoc approach also paves the way
        located north of the Bismarck Sea.                                                                    for a fourth implication. The geopo-
        (See Map I)                                                                                           litical game of one-upmanship be-
            On the contrary, the prospects                                                                    tween China and the United States
        of American presence in the Cocos                                                                     will have profound implications for
        (Keeling) merit greater scrutiny. For                                                                 the traditional security guarantors in
        one, this non-descript island sits at                                                                 the region and sub-regions of the In-
        the crossroads of the all-important                                                                   do-Pacific theatre. The upshot of this
        trans-Indian Ocean SLOCs and thus                                                                     would be that the regional/sub-re-
        acts as the gatekeeper of internation-                                                                gional order would undergo a further
        al shipping and, subsequently, global                                                                 change in its architecture. Against
        trade and hence the global economy.                                                                   this backdrop, the geographic loca-
        Secondly, it is not only Cocos Island’s                                                               tion of the Cocos (Keeling) Island,
        location that has geo-strategic signif-                                                               Papua New Guinea and Timor Les-
        icance but also its proximity to an                                                                   te are significant, as they are located
        American military base, Camp Thun-                                                                    along the periphery of the maritime
        der Cove in Deigo Garcia, which is                                                                    access points of Southeast Asia. This,
        a part of the Chagos Archipelago in                                                                   when taken along with the history of
        the Indian Ocean region. (See Map                                                                     close  cooperation  that  the  United
        II)                                       Map II: Cocos (Keeling) Island and Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean Region.    States enjoys with Southeast Asian
            Given  the  ongoing dispute  be-                                                                  countries like the Philippines, Singa-
        tween the United Kingdom and                              Source: globalsecurity.org                  pore and Thailand, the impact of the
        Mauritius over the sovereignty of the                                                                 PDI will be seen in both this sub-re-
        Chagos Archipelago, Cocos Island   military bases of the United States.   lies and partners of the United States   gion of the Indo-Pacific theatre and
        becomes all the more important.   On the contrary, both Lilly Pad and   in the Indo-Pacific region.   also on the internal dynamics within
        This is so as this Australian islet can   CSL share similar characteristics, as   Sailing into Choppy Waters   the Association of Southeast Asian
        become an alternative for the Unit-  they  are  small,  well-dispersed  for-                          Nations (ASEAN) to begin with.
        ed States given that littoral countries   ward facilities that are a part of a   hile  Washington  has  ar-
                                          larger network of military positions
        of the Indian Ocean, especially India   and are widely spread around the  W  ticulated  its  ambitious     Dr. Sripathi Narayanan is
        “continues its consistent support to                                         approach to the security,   a Research Fellow at the Indian
        Mauritius” on its claim over the dis-  world. It is to be noted that cooper-  stability and prosperity of the In-  Council of World Affairs, New Delhi.
        puted  archipelago.  The  Indian  po-  ative security locations are  spread   do-Pacific  region,  there  will  be  un-  Views expressed are personal.
        sition on the Chagos dispute is not   across the globe, including along the   intended spinoffs that merit some
        based on geopolitical consideration   east coast of Africa, since the pri-  appreciation. The first implication is
        but  is  a  reflection  of  New  Delhi’s   mary task of the CSL is to carry out   that  the  Indo-Pacific  region,  which   This article first appeared
        principled “stand on decolonization   counter-narcotics and counter-ter-  is already a focal point of geopoliti-  in the Viewpoint section of the website
        and support for the sovereignty and   rorism operations.            cal contestation, could be the glob-  (www.icwa.in) of Indian Council
        territorial integrity of nations”.    On the other hand, the lattice-  al epicenter of global power play as   of World Affairs, New Delhi, on
           A New Security Paradigm        work  was  first  mentioned  in  the   Washington is expanding the scope
                                          “Indo-Pacific  Strategy  of  the  Unit-
                 hat also makes the Amer-  ed States” released by the White
                 ican interests in Cocos   House in February 2022, wherein it   Mobile +91 99256 73021 (Office) +91 2634 285121 Email : [email protected]
        W(Keeling)         Island,  Pap-  has been stated that a “latticework
        ua New Guinea and Timor Leste     of  strong  and  mutually  reinforcing             (Ô‰ıVÀ) 396321, ÷Î. √HÎÿı‰Ì, Ï…. fi‰ÁÎflÌ, √…flÎ÷
        important rests with Washington’s   coalitions” would be the framework   ‰‘ ‹ÎÏË÷Ì ‹ÎÀı Á_’¿Û— ’˛‹¬ lÌ ‹Î‘‰·Î· ’fl˘ÏË÷ (‹ËΉÌfl T≤©Îl‹, ωl΋B≤Ë ±Î√‚, ⁄Ì·Ì‹˘flÎ
        evolving global security architecture,   under which Washington would  be   ’˛√ÀΉ˘. ±Î F›˘÷ «Î·_ »ı, Œ@÷ F›˘÷‹Î_ CÎÌ ¥…‰ÎfiÌ …wfl »ı. ¤Ò·˘ ¤·ı ⁄Ì…\ ⁄‘ _‹Î-⁄Î’fiı ¤·Â˘ fiÏË.
        which has moved away from the hub   approaching this region. By lean-  ¤Î¥-⁄Ëıfi˘ ±Î’÷˘ ÿÎfi-’ÒH› …wfl ¿fl÷Î_ Ë¢. ‹ËΉÌfl T≤©Îl‹fiı ·Î_⁄˘ ËÎ◊ ¿flÌ ‹Îfi‰÷ÎfiÌ F›˘÷
        and spoke doctrine that it had per-  ing upon its allies and partners, the   lÌ‹_÷, ‰ÎV÷, ’ÒH›◊ÌÏ÷ fi˘¿flÌ ‹‚‰‰ÎfiÌ ¬ÂÌ T≤©Îl‹‹Î_ ÷ÌÏ◊ ¤˘…fi ±Î’Ì Â¿Â˘. ωÿı‹Î_ flËı÷Î ‹ÎflÎ
        suaded since the days of the Cold War   United States would be pursuing a   Áı‰Î¤Î‰Ì ¤Î¥-⁄Ëıfi˘, Á_√Ãfi˘, ‹ÏË·Î ‹_Õ‚ ›◊΄@÷ ŒÎ‚˘ ‹˘¿·Î‰Ì ¿ı »ı. ¤Ï‰W›fi_ ¤Î◊ …L‹Ïÿfi,
        to a “Lilly Pads” or a “latticework”   flexible and ad hoc approach to the   ‹¿‰Îfi_ ±Î›˘…fi Âw ¿fl‰Î‹Î_ ±Î‰ı· »ı. ±Î_√‚Ì Ï«_K›Îfi_’ÒH› V‰ˆ„E»¿ Á_V◊α˘, Ï·Ï‹ÀıÕ ¿o’fi̱˘,
        approach.                         evolving security architecture in the   ¿ı »ı. ±ı¿ ‰Ê˝ ‹ÎÀı w. 20000, » ‹ÏËfiÎ ‹ÎÀı w. 10000 Á_V◊Îfiı FCRAfiÌ ‹_…^flÌ ‹‚ı· »ı. ÿÎ÷ÎlÌfiı flÁÌÿ
                                                                             ¥-‹ı¥· ‹ÎflŒ÷ı ‹˘¿·‰Î‹Î_ ±Î‰Âı. ¿˘fl˘fiÎ ¿Î‚‹Î_ V‰…fi˘ Q≤I› ’΋ı·Î ˢ› ÷ı‹fiÎ fi΋fiÌ fi΋Ή·Ì ÷¿÷Ì
            The Lilly Pad is aimed at having   Indo-Pacific Region, as the structure   T≤©Îl‹‹Î_ ÿkο ›˘…fiÎ Âw ¿fl‰Î‹Î_ ±Î‰ı· »ı. ¿˘≥ ’HÎ Áı‰Î¤Î‰Ì ¤Î¥-⁄Ëıfi˘ ±Î ÿkο ›˘…fiÎfi˘ ·Î¤ ·≥
        “flexible  forward  operating  bases”,   would not be American-centric but   ’˛¤ ’˛Î◊˝fiÎ. ±Î Á_V◊Îfiı Ïÿ·ıfl ÿÎ÷ÎfiÌ ÷Î÷Ì …wfl »ı. e· fiËŸ ÷˘ e·fiÌ ’Î_¬ÕÌ w’ı ¤ıÀ ‹˘¿·Î‰Ì ¿˘ »˘.
        which are “small, secretive, inaccessi-  would also entail Washington’s allies   ±‹ÎflÎ CÎHÎÎ-⁄‘Î ÿÎ÷Îḻ˘ V‰√˝‰ÎÁ ◊›Î ±ı‹fiÌ ±ÎI‹Îfiı ’fl‹¿Ú’΂ ’fl‹ÎI‹Î ¬Ò⁄ ¬Ò⁄ ÂÎ_Ï÷ ±Î’ı ÷ı‰Ì
        ble facilities with limited numbers of   and partners to “build connections   ⁄ËıflÎ-‹_√α˘fiı ’˛‰ı ±Î’‰Î‹Î_ ±Î‰ı »ı. ±Î Á_V◊Î Ïÿ·ıfl ÿÎ÷α˘fiÎ ÁË›˘√◊Ì «Î·ı »ı. ¿˘fl˘fiο΂‹Î_
        troops, spartan amenities, and prep-  within and beyond the (Indo-Pacif-  √Ωfl÷Πˢ› ÷ı‰Î ÏfiflΑÎfl …ı‹fiÌ ¿˘≥ ÁÎflÁ_¤Î‚ flάfiÎfl fi ˢ›, ÏfiflΑÎfl ω‘‰Î ⁄Ëıfi˘, ±_‘-±’_√,
        ositioned weaponry and supplies.”   ic) region”. This would also include   fiÌ« ‘‹˝ ¿ı ¤ıÿ¤Î‰ ÏÁ‰Î› ’˛‰ı ±Î’‰Î‹Î_ ±Î‰ı »ı. µ’fl ±Î¿Î ˢ› fiÌ«ı ‘fl÷Ì‹Î÷ÎfiÎ ÁËÎflı ∞‰fi
        The Lilly Pad is similar to the “co-  “finding  new  opportunities  to  link   ‹ËΉÌfl ¿S›ÎHÎ ±fiı ω¿ÎÁ ÀˇVÀ ‹ËΉÌfl T≤©Îl‹fiÌ Áı‰Î ¿Î›˝fl÷ »ı. ±Î T≤©Îl‹‹Î_ fiÎ÷-Ω÷, µE«-
                                          defense industrial bases, integrating
        arrangement, as both have a low pro-  of defense supply chains, and co-pro-
        file when compared to the traditional   ducing key technologies” between al-


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        operative security locations” or CSL  ÉÝ ÉÝ lí ßëÜ
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