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BUSINESS EYE                                                              JULY 21, 2023  |   The Indian Eye 30


             India-China trade takes a bad hit as




          exports tumble in post-Covid scenario




            China’s exports tumbled 12.4 per cent in June from a year earlier amid weakening demand following

                                       increasing interest rates by central banks to curb inflation


        OUR BUREAU
        New Delhi/Shanghai
              he India-China trade, which
              in recent years rose sharply
        Tdespite bilateral tensions over
        the border dispute, showed the first
        signs of a slowdown in years falling
        by 0.9 per cent in the first half of this
        year. This came as China’s overall
        foreign trade declined by about five
        per cent as its economy struggled to
        recover from Covid blues.
            China’s exports to India in the
        first half of this year totaled $56.53
        billion compared to $57.51 billion
        last year registering a decline of 0.9
        per  cent,  according  to  the  data  re-
        leased by Chinese customs on Thurs-
        day.
            India’s exports to China during
        the same period totaled $9.49 bil-
        lion  compared to $9.57 billion last
        year. The trade deficit in the first half
        of 2023 too declined significantly to
        $47.04 compared to $67.08 billion
        last year. Last year was a bumper year
        for India-China trade as it touched   Last year was a bumper year for India-China trade as it touched an all-time high of $135.98 billion despite the continued chill in the bilateral ties (ANI)
        an all-time high of $135.98 billion de-
        spite the continued chill in the bilat-
        eral ties over the military standoff in   Chinese customs data released   sector earlier this year, fell by 16.86   for immediate growth in global de-
        eastern Ladakh in May 2020.       Thursday showed imports slid 6.8   per cent compared to a year earlier.  mand,” The Post quoted him as saying.
            The total India-China trade in   per cent to $214.7 billion. The disap-  Exports to the European Union,   Lu added that China’s economy
        2022 overtook the $125 billion mark   pointing data is yet another indicator   declined by 12.92 per cent year on   is resilient and revitalizing and that
        a year earlier by registering an 8.4   of China’s sputtering post-pandemic   year and the United States tumbled   the foreign trade sector would still
        per cent increase. New Delhi’s trade   economic recovery, which has lost   23.7 per cent from a year earlier to   head towards a positive direction in
        deficit  with  Beijing  crossed  for  the   momentum in the second quarter,   $42.7 billion. China’s trade surplus   the longer term.
        first time a $100 billion mark despite   analysts told the Hong Kong-based   with  the  US  narrowed  by  30.6  per   China had hoped for a quick
        frosty bilateral relations.       South China Morning Post.         cent to $28.7 billion, according to the   economic recovery after the gov-
            The trade deficit for India stood   “The latest data in the developed   customs data.             ernment relaxed strict COVID re-
        at $101.02 billion in 2022 crossing the   countries shows consistent signals   However,  exports  to  Russia  in   strictions and reopened its borders
        2021 figure of $69.38 billion.    of further weakness, which is like-  June increased by 90.93 per cent com-  six months ago. However, China’s
            The slowdown of India-Chi-    ly to put more pressure on China’s   pared to the same month last  year.  hopes have been dampened by weak
        na trade in the first half of this year   exports in the rest of the year,” said   China’s imports also fell by 6.8   external demand.
        came as China’s total trade includ-  Zhang Zhiwei, chief economist at   per cent in June from a year earlier   Although China witnessed pos-
        ing imports and exports fell nearly 5   Pinpoint Asset Management.  to $214.7 billion, down from a fall of   itive annual growth in March and
        per cent from a year earlier in dollar   “China has to depend on domes-  4.5 per cent in May.         April. However, economists warned
        terms. While exports slipped 3.2 per   tic demand. The big question in the   Releasing the data, General Ad-  that this is not the full picture. The
        cent and imports declined 6.7 per cent.  next few months is whether domestic   ministration of Customs spokesman   comparison has  been made from  a
            Also, China’s exports tumbled   demand can rebound without much   Lu Daliang said China would be fac-  low base when a lockdown was imple-
        12.4 per cent in June from a year   stimulus from the government,”   ing more pressure to boost the stable   mented in Shanghai in 2022. The de-
        earlier amid weakening demand fol-  Zhang told the Post.            growth of foreign trade in the latter   velopment comes as companies have
        lowing increasing interest rates by   Shipments to the Association of   half of the year. “Inflation is still prom-  been intending to diversify their sup-
        central banks to curb inflation as the   Southeast Asian Nations, which is Chi-  inent in developed world economies,  ply chains from China. Trade tensions
        Chinese economy struggled to stage   na’s largest trade partner and one that   geopolitical  conflicts  are  still  taking   between  US  and  China  have  also
        post-Covid recovery.              provided major support to its export   place and there is not enough drive   sparked concerns among businesses.


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