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Business EYE                                                          DECEMBER 25, 2020  |        The Indian Eye                          34




                                     Positive growth in Q3?



          telecom, pharma and manufacturing




                             may pull India out of crisis






        Telecom industry’s ‘active’ subscriber base rose by nearly 2.5 million in October 2020



        Our Bureau                                                                                                    initially hit due to Covid-19 have

        New Delhi                                                                                                     resumed gradually since March
                                                                                                                      and are nearing the normalcy
               he Indian economy is re-                                                                               levels, said ICRA.
               covering faster than ex-                                                                                   The key sensitivity to ICRA’s
        Tpected and may post pos-                                                                                     view  remains  productivity  of
        itive growth in the third quarter                                                                             R&D expenditure, increasing
        of current financial year, the Re-                                                                            competition in the US generics
        serve Bank of India (RBI) said                                                                                space and operational risks re-
        on Thursday in its report on state                                                                            lated to increased level of due
        of the economy. “Indian econ-                                                                                 diligence by regulatory agencies.
        omy is  pulling out of COVID-                                                                                     The telecom industry’s ‘ac-
        19’s deep abyss and is reflating                Union minister for communications and electronics             tive’ subscriber base rose by
        at a pace that beats most pre- & Information Technology ravi shankar Prasad in a meeting with the ceOs        nearly  2.5  million  in  October
        dictions,” said the report. Eco-                        of Telecom companies (File photo)                     2020 to touch about 961 million,
        nomic conditions continued to                                                                                 and  user  additions  benefited
        improve through November on  of  this  fiscal  in  terms  of  nom-           As per the data, sales of non- from vanishing impact of SIM
        the back of the uptick in agricul- inal sales after shrinking 41.1       IT  firms  and  IT  firms  during  consolidation triggered from
        ture and manufacturing activity.  per cent in the previous quarter       the second quarter stood at Rs  tariff hike, according to a latest
        Financial conditions embodied  that was hit by countrywide lock-         80,842  crore  and Rs 1,01,353  report.
        in interest rates are perhaps at  downs due to Covid-19, accord-         crore, respectively. “Operating          ICICI  Securities,  in  its  re-
        their easiest in decades.            ing to RBI data.                    profits  of  manufacturing  com- port crunching Trai’s telecom
            “Although there are head-           The recovery was led by iron     panies increased on the back of  subscription data,  said  Bharti
        winds, steadfast efforts by all  and steel, food products, ce-           savings in expenditure; operat- Airtel’s active subscribers rose
        stakeholders could put India on  ment, automobile and pharma-            ing  profits  of  services  (both  IT  about 3 million to reach near-
        a faster growth trajectory.”         ceuticals companies, showed the     and non-IT) companies also in- ly 320 million in October 2020,
            The report said growth im- data on the performance of the            creased in Q2:2020-21,” the RBI  “most of which was driven by
        pulses that have emerged au- private  corporate sector  during           said in a statement.                 total  subscriber  net  adds,  thus
        gur well for revitalization of the  the second quarter of 2020-21.           With inelastic demand for  indicating improving quality of
        economy. Policy stimulus by the         Manufacturing       companies    drugs and resumption of produc- subscriber addition”.
        government and the RBI are in-       reported sales of Rs 5,99,479       tion to the near pre-Covid levels        Bharti Airtel saw the highest
        tended to nurture these growth  crore in the second quarter,             by Q3 FY21, revenue growth for  subscriber addition in its tradi-
        sprouts to greater strength. Ef- compared to Rs 3,97,233 crore           Indian pharmaceutical market is  tionally weak circles of Maha-
        forts are underway to ensure  in April-June of FY 2020-21.               expected to be 7 to 9 per cent in  rashtra (0.7 million) and Gu-
        a  calibrated  unlocking  of the  The data has been drawn from           FY21 despite muted growth in  jarat (0.5 million). The active
        economy with cognizance and  abridged  quarterly  financial  re-         Q1 FY21, according to invest- subscribers are calculated based
        caution about the virus.             sults of 2,637 listed non-govern-   ment information agency ICRA. on the reported visitor location
            “While we remain vigilant,  ment  non-financial  (NGNF)                  The revenue growth in FY22  register (VLR), a key metric
        we must now turn to alleviating  companies, the RBI said.                is expected to be slightly bet- reflecting the number of active
        the  scars  left  by  pandemic  and     Nominal sales of non-IT ser-     ter at 8 to 11 per cent, though  users on a mobile network.
        revive the economy. The hori- vices sector also registered low-          lower incidences of acute dis-           Airtel was followed by Re-
        zon has lighted up with the spate  er contraction of  14.5 per cent      eases, lesser OPDs and elective  liance Jio, which added overall
        of positive news on the vaccines,  (Y-o-Y) led by expansion in           surgeries may continue to have  2.22 million new mobile cus-
        and a steady rise in recoveries.”    sales of telecommunication and      some bearing on growth and will  tomers, taking its total subscrib-
            Demand conditions in the  real estate companies.                     depend upon the course of the  er base to 406.3 million during
        manufacturing sector returned           Sales growth of IT sector        pandemic. The active pharma- the said month. Vodafone Idea
        to the recovery mode with a soft- companies remained steady at           ceutical ingredient (API) and  Ltd and state-owned BSNL and
        er contraction of 4.3 per cent  3.6 per cent (Y-o-Y) in Q2 FY            key starting material (KSM)  MTNL reported a loss of sub-
        (Y-o-Y) in the second  quarter  2020-21.                                 supplies from China which were  scriber base, on an overall basis.


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