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OPINION                                                            DECEMBER 16, 2022  |      The Indian Eye 11



        of Pakistan, Shah Mehmood Qureshi                                                                     sues and not repeat the same mistake
        dismissed it as propaganda.                                                                           again otherwise it will have bad con-
            There were commentators in Pa-                                                                    sequences”.
        kistan who held that if Afghanistan                                                                       There is an overwhelming feel-
        was to become a pariah state or an                                                                    ing in Pakistan that the Taliban have
        unstable country with the Taliban as                                                                  betrayed their trust and forgotten the
        a nationalistic force too weak to gov-                                                                material and moral support they had
        ern, it was going to be a massive chal-                                                               received in their struggle against the
        lenge for Pakistan. A regime with no                                                                  Americans. It is not difficult to under-
        coherence within the group and weak                                                                   stand why Pakistan, after backing the
        control over the country could not act                                                                Taliban to the hilt, has not recognized
        against groups like TTP. Moreover,                                                                    their government as legitimate after
        some reports indicated that anti-Paki-                                                                almost a year.
        stan hatred among common Afghans
        was intense. Due to various reasons,                                                                            Conclusion
        “Afghans do not consider themselves
        responsible for their miseries and de-                                                                      iven the grave challenges the
        struction”, wrote one commentator   Pakistan’s foreign minister of state Hina Rabbani Khar holds talks with her Afghan counter-  Taliban face in Afghanistan,
        in an Urdu daily, Nawa-e-Waqt, “but         part Amir Khan Muttaqi a day after Pakistan Taliban ended truce  Git is hard to predict what the
        [put the blame on] the policies of Pa-                                                                future  holds  for  Pakistan–Afghani-
        kistan in Afghanistan”.                                                                               stan relations. Meanwhile, Pakistan
            Some experts did warn against                                                                     has learnt it the hard way that it has
        the churlish celebrations. Former am-                                                                 to fight its own war against the TTP.
        bassador Maleeha Lodhi prescient-                                                                     Islamabad may continue to prod the
        ly wrote after the fall of Kabul that                                                                 Taliban to take action against the TTP
        Islamabad should practice caution                                                                     members and stop them from using
        “as  a  fluid  situation  can  encourage                                                              the Afghan territory against Paki-
        cross-border attacks from militant                                                                    stan. However, given the ideological
        groups based in Afghanistan that Ka-                                                                  convergence TTP has with the Tali-
        bul has yet to act against and on which                                                               ban and the support that they receive
        Islamabad should secure ironclad                                                                      from the people in south-eastern Af-
        guarantees”.                                                                                          ghanistan, the Taliban may not be able
            According to a report by the Paki-                                                                to fulfil Pakistan’s request.
        stan Institute of Peace Studies (PIPS)                                                                    Not only do they fear of backlash
        in October 2022, since the Taliban re-                                                                from within their own ranks if they act
        turned to power in Afghanistan on 15                                                                  against the TTP, they also apprehend
        August 2021, Pakistan witnessed a 51                                                                  that if they act against the TTP, its
        per cent increase in terror attacks in a    Insurgents across the world have been able to use their transnational links and support to   members may join other terror groups
        single year.                                           survive as well as garner support              like Daesh and Al-Qaeda. They are
            The latest TTP attack took place                                                                  also perhaps too conscious of the im-
        on 14 November 2022 after which the   and their promise of cutting ties to al   Taliban blessings.    plications of acting at the bidding of
        main crossing for trade between the   Qaeda and other such groups”, one   The  TTP,  despite  the  promises   Pakistan, especially  when there  was
        two countries,  the ‘Friendship Gate’   Pakistani official was quoted as saying.   of the Taliban, continued with their   a perception that they were merely
        at the Wesh-Chaman border, had to   The Taliban always claimed that the   offensive and increased their attacks.   acting as puppets of Pakistan. In their
        be closed. The attackers came from   Afghan territory would not be used by   On 14 April 2022, in an attack in   earlier avatar in the 1990s also, the
        the Afghan side and killed one securi-  terrorists against any other state.  North Waziristan, seven Pakistani sol-  Taliban had refused to recognize the
        ty personnel, according to reports.   However, when the Taliban failed   diers were killed, leading to a harsh   Durand Line as the border between
                                          to act against the TTP, capturing the   exchange of statements between the   the two countries. Now too, they are
          Taliban confronts Islamabad     frustrations on the Pakistani side, senior   two countries. The sharp response   likely to pose as uncompromising Af-
                                          journalist  Saleem  Safi  wrote  in  Jang   from  Pakistan’s  Ministry  of  Foreign   ghan nationalists, and not stooges of
              he jubilations in Pakistan over   that Pakistan’s policy on Afghanistan   Affairs stated that   some other country. All these issues
              the Taliban victory in Afghan-  was  flawed,  based  on  three  assump-  Pakistan has repeatedly request-  are likely to create rifts and conflicts
        Tistan, therefore, did not last   tions: One, the American presence   ed Afghan Government in last few   between the Taliban and Pakistan.
        long. Expectedly, the Taliban focused   was the root problem in Afghanistan;   months to secure Pak-Afghan border
        on their national interests once they   two, Ashraf Ghani, Hamid Karzai and   region. Terrorists are using Afghan   Dr Nazir Ahmad Mir is a Research
        were back in power. Their immediate   Abdullah Abdullah were Pakistan’s   soil with impunity to carry out activi-  Analyst at Manohar Parrikar Institute
        security calculations were different   enemies  and  the  Taliban  are  friends;   ties inside Pakistan.  for Defense Studies and Analyses
        from that of Pakistan. Moreover, they   and third, there is no connection be-  With the Taliban unwilling or in-
        shared their ideological moorings   tween the Afghan Taliban and TTP.  capable of stopping the terror attacks   Views expressed are of the author and
        with TTP.                             Once the Taliban came to pow-  across the border, Pakistan carried   do not necessarily reflect the views of
            At the very beginning of the Tal-  er, these assumptions were proved   out strikes inside the Afghan territo-  the Manohar Parrikar IDSA or of the
        iban 2.0 rule, Pakistan had asked the   wrong. Afghanistan under the Taliban   ry on 15 April to target terrorists. The   Government of India.
        Taliban to take action against TTP “as   helped the TTP to re-unite and re-  reaction from the Taliban officials and
        a test case” to prove both their power   emerge with full force. They report-  the Afghans for violating Afghani-  This article first appeared in the
        and commitment to their words that   edly armed themselves with sophisti-  stan’s sovereignty was on expected   Comments section of the website (www.
        they would act against terrorism. “If   cated weapons that were left behind   lines. Taliban spokesman Zabihullah   idsa.in) of Manohar Parrikar Institute
        the Taliban can’t address concerns of   by the foreign troops, which could not   Mujahid warned Pakistan “not to test   for Defense Studies and Analyses, New
        Pakistan, then who would trust them   have occurred with overt or covert   the patience of Afghans on such is-  Delhi on December 8, 2022


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