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BuSINESS EYE                                                           MARCH 25, 2022  |     The Indian Eye 38


               Wheat, maize, oil and pharma:





         how the war in ukraine may open





                                doors for Indian firms







           Russia offers crude oil and other commodities at discounted rates to India after the US

                   and its allies impose sanctions on Moscow following the invasion of Ukraine



        OUR BUREAU
        New York/Mumbai
              he conflict between Russia and
              Ukraine is disrupting supplies
        Tof agricultural commodities
        and is likely to have  a deep impact
        on India’s farm sector, said Crisil Re-
        search in its report released on Thurs-
        day. Noting the situation as a “mixed
        bag” for India’s agri-trade, it said
        while  the  conflict  creates  an  oppor-
        tunity for wheat and maize exports, it
        is also set to have an adverse impact
        on the import bill of edible oils due to
        higher prices.
           “Both the Black Sea nations are
        major suppliers of key commodities
        such as wheat, sunflower oil and corn.
        On its part, India is an exporter of                               India is one of the biggest importers of petroleum
        wheat  and  a  major importer  of  edi-
        ble oils, including sunflower oil. Thus,  edible oils, where the country is a ma-  the whole month, based on current   government-to-government arrange-
        while the conflict creates opportunity   jor importer.”             shipment schedules.               ment for energy imports, the people
        for exports, it is also set to have an ad-  Meanwhile, the jump in global   “India’s legitimate energy trans-  pointed out.
        verse impact on the import bill due to   fuel prices since the beginning of the   actions should not be politicized,” a   Also, the Russian envoy to India
        higher prices,” said the report.   conflict in Ukraine has added to In-  source added.                Denis Alipov on Friday said that Indi-
            Crisil’s analysis comes at a time   dia’s challenges, and the pressure for   Energy from alternative sources   an  pharmaceutical  companies  could
        when several reports flagged how the   competitive sourcing has naturally in-  has often come at a higher cost, and   replace the demand for Western
        Russia-Ukraine  conflict  will  also  ad-  creased, the people said on conditions   the jump in prices after the Ukraine   companies  in  Russia.  The  West  has
        versely impact imports of fertilizers,  of anonymity while explaining the gov-  conflict  has  added  to  India’s  chal-  imposed several sanctions on Russia
        creating a situation where farmers will   ernment’s decision to opt for cheaper   lenges. “The pressure for competitive   owing to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
        have to face higher input cost during   energy  from  sources  such  as  Russia.  sourcing has naturally increased,” the   The crisis started on 24 February, af-
        the  Kharif (summer crop)  sowing     Russia has offered crude oil and   person said.                 ter Russian President Vladimir Putin
        season if it prolongs longer. At a high   other commodities at discounted   The people noted that India is   announced a military offensive on the
        14%,  India’s  share  in  global  wheat   rates to India after the US and its   highly dependent on imports for its   East European country.
        production is the same as the com-  allies imposed sanctions on Moscow   energy requirements, and almost    However, earlier this month, Al-
        bined  share  of  Russia  and  Ukraine.  following President Vladimir Putin’s   85% of the country’s crude oil needs   ipov had said that Moscow has wel-
        However, owing to higher domestic   decision to invade Ukraine last month.  – or five million barrels a day – is im-  comed the independent foreign poli-
        consumption, the country’s share in   Russian oil exports to India, the   ported.  Most  of  these  imports  are   cy of India amid the Russia-Ukraine
        global wheat exports is a mere 3%.  third largest energy consumer, qua-  from West Asia, with Iraq accounting   conflict.
            Another commodity that is likely   drupled in March, Financial Times   for 23%, Saudi Arabia 18% and the   “The withdrawal of many West-
        to see the impact is maize, of which   reported on Friday. Russia has so far   United Arab Emirates 11%.  ern companies from the Russian mar-
        Ukraine is the third-largest export-  exported 360,000 barrels of oil a day   The people noted that Russia has   ket and those niches that have been
        er. “As exports from Ukraine decline,  to India in March alone, nearly four   so far been only a “marginal suppli-  vacated may actually be occupied by
        Indian maize will be able to take ad-  times  the  2021  average.  The  report   er” of crude oil to India, accounting   Indian companies in many industries,
        vantage,”  said  the  report.  It,  howev-  cited Kpler, a commodities data and   for less than 1% of the country’s re-  in particular, in pharmaceuticals,” Al-
        er, said, “India’s gains in wheat and   analytics firm, to say that Russia is on   quirements  and  not  figuring  among   ipov told the Rossiya 24 broadcaster,
        maize could well be squandered on   track to hit 203,000 barrels a day for   the top 10 sources. There is also no   as quoted by Sputnik news agency.


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