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OPINION                                                               February 05, 2021  |        The Indian Eye                          16



        india, russia and the indo-pacific:




                         a search for Congruence





                      India and Russia’s divergent outlooks appear to stem from the latter’s rejection of

                                            the Indo-Pacific construct in favour of Asia-Pacific


        raJOrshi rOy                                                                                                  to isolate it but also broaden the
                                                                                                                      horizons of its pivot to Asia be-
                ussian  Foreign  Minister                                                                             yond China.
                Sergei  Lavrov’s recent                                                                                   However, it is likely that In-
        Runcharacteristic            state-                                                                           dia will continue its indepen-
        ment of “India being an object                                                                                dent course of action anchored
        of the Western countries per-                                                                                 in multi-alignment. Russia re-
        sistent, aggressive and devious                                                                               mains India’s traditional partner
        policy” to “engage in anti-China                                                                              and a pillar of India’s strategic
        games by promoting Indo-Pacif-                                                                                autonomy. The challenge will
        ic strategies” has reignited the                                                                              likely be to convince Russia of
        debate on India and Russia’s                                                                                  India’s long-term independent
        increasingly divergent outlook                                                                                Indo-Pacific vision.
        on  the  Indo-Pacific.  Lavrov  at                                                                                It is, therefore, essential to
        the 2020 Raisinia Dialogue had                                                                                continue to strive for congru-
        expressed  confidence  of  India                                                                              ence. What can possibly bridge
        “being smart enough to under-                                                                                 the gap are both nations’ simi-
        stand” the Western “trap” of           external Affairs Minister Dr s Jaishankar with his russian counterpart   lar but as yet parallel visions of
        the  Indo-Pacific  and  “not  get       sergei lavrov during a bilateral meeting in Moscow (file photo: ANI)  a stable security architecture
        into it”.                                                                                                     and shared concerns over hege-
            The tone, tenor and timing  holds veto power.                        Indo-Pacific  appears  tactical- monism. As India’s External Af-
        of Lavrov’s December 2020               Russia’s  Indo-Pacific  oppo- ly linked to its necessity of an  fairs Minister Dr. S. Jaishankar
        statement insinuates Russia’s  sition  is  also  based  on  its  per- entente with China. With Bei- had stated in 2019, “Russia is a
        apprehensions of a fundamen- ception that it undermines the  jing’s support being critical to  Pacific Power which has Indian
        tal shift in India’s foreign poli- Association of Southeast Asian  overcome Western pressure on  Ocean interests” while “India
        cy playbook which traditionally  Nations (ASEAN) centrality, an  its policies, the Kremlin as quid  is an Indian Ocean power with
        has placed a premium on stra- organisation with which Russia  pro quo appears to increasingly  very strong and growing Pacific
        tegic autonomy, with Russia as  has intensified its engagement.4  back China in its core areas of  interest”.
        one of its key pillars.              Russia also holds that the con- strategic concern by doing the              The litmus test of this tra-
            These developments have  struct is limited in its geograph- diplomatic heavy-lifting.                     ditional partnership will be to
        the potential to cast a shadow  ical scope as it excludes Africa             The  Indo-Pacific,  on  the  harmonise each other’s view-
        on India-Russia bilateral ties.  and the Persian Gulf, regions  other hand, can likely be one  points, to the extent possible,
        The pertinent question is wheth- where Russia has increased its  of Russia’s tools to stay relevant  and ride out the storm. Perhaps,
        er New Delhi and Moscow can  strategic footprints in recent  on the global stage. Today, an  a logistics sharing pact, long in
        find  common  ground  in  the  times. Seeing no tangible gains  increasingly bipolar US-China  the  offing,  could  provide  the
        evolving geo-strategic construct. from  this  redefined  construct,  global narrative runs the risk of  much-needed momentum.
            India and Russia’s divergent  Russia continues to emphasise  leaving Russia in its trail, given  Rajorshi Roy is Research Analyst
        outlooks appear to stem from  on the Asia-Pacific.                       Moscow’s relative decline. This  at the Manohar Parrikar Institute
        the latter’s rejection of the In-       The  Indo-Pacific  stakehold- necessitates Russia adopting  for Defence Studies and Analyses,
        do-Pacific construct in favour of  ers’ strategy appears predicated  independent positions in one                         New Delhi.
        Asia-Pacific.  This  is  predicated  on putting diplomatic pressure  of the world’s most dynamic re-
        on Kremlin’s assertion that the  on Beijing to strengthen the  gions to project the image of a                Views expressed are of the author
        Indo-Pacific  is  primarily  a  US- foundations of peaceful co-ex- pole in global affairs.                    and do not necessarily reflect the
        led initiative designed to con- istence. The strategy, however,              Being China’s junior part-       views of the Manohar Parrikar
                                                                                                                      IDSA or of the Government of India.
        tain China and Russia.               may not necessarily be China  ner undermines Kremlin’s great
            Russia has viewed attempts  specific. Moreover, majority of  power ambitions. Russia, there-                This is the abridged version of
        to formulate a new rules-based  stakeholders view expansion  fore, likely stands to gain from                   the article which appeared first
        Indo-Pacific order as a Western  of  the  Indo-Pacific’s  frontiers  the multipolarity and multilater-          in the Comment section of the
        strategy to override internation- to the east-coast of Africa and  alism that the Indo-Pacific seeks           website (www.idsa.in) of Mano-
        al law, thereby circumventing  ASEAN centrality as intrinsic to  to promote. A strategic reposi- har Parrikar Institute for Defense
        the United Nations Security  the construct.                              tioning could not only help Rus- Studies and Analyses, New Delhi
        Council (UNSC) where Russia             Russia’s vocal opposition of  sia overcome Western attempts                  on February 4, 2021


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