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EYE ON INDIA                                                     SEPTEMBER 05, 2025        |  The Indian Eye                    8


                 Washington’s Mixed Signals on




               India: Russian Oil, Trade Tariffs




                           and a Fragile Partnership






         America’s hot-and-cold response to India’s Russian oil imports and the 50% tariff war reveals deep contra-

                     dictions in U.S. strategy, exposing both geopolitical anxieties and economic pragmatism.

        OUR BUREAU                                                                                 tent, even opportunistic.
                                                                                                      For New Delhi, the equation is clear: access to
        New Delhi/Washington, DC
                                                                                                   affordable energy and protection of domestic pro-
              he U.S. relationship with India, often de-                                           ducers outweigh U.S. pressure. Jaishankar bluntly
              scribed as a “defining partnership of the 21st                                       described Washington’s tariffs as “unjustified and
        Tcentury,” is once again under strain. At the                                              unreasonable,” stressing that India will defend
        heart of the turbulence is New Delhi’s decision to                                         its farmers and small manufacturers. Commerce
        continue importing Russian oil despite Western                                             Ministry officials acknowledge short-term pain in
        sanctions following the Ukraine war. While the                                             sectors like textiles and chemicals but insist the
        U.S. has applauded India in recent years as a dem-                                         long-term impact will be limited.
        ocratic counterweight to China, Washington’s lat-                                             India’s defiance is not merely economic—it is
        est moves—imposing 50% tariffs on Indian goods                                             geopolitical signaling. By refusing to bend, New
        and publicly rebuking New Delhi—suggest a sharp                                            Delhi asserts its strategic autonomy, reminding
        recalibration. The oscillation between pressure                                            Washington  that  it  will  not  be  a  passive  ally.  Its
        and conciliation reflects both political calculations                                      growing energy ties with Russia, and even cautious
        in Washington and India’s determination to safe-                                           engagement with China on multilateral platforms,
        guard its energy and trade interests.                                                      reinforce this posture.
            White House Trade Adviser Peter Navarro’s                                                 At its core, Washington’s vacillation stems
        blunt criticism this week epitomizes Washington’s                                          from three competing impulses. First is geopo-
        frustration. He accused India of “indirectly fund-                                         litical urgency—pressuring partners to cut off
        ing Russia’s war machine” and urged New Delhi                                              Moscow’s revenue streams. Second is domestic
        to “act like a democracy” by siding with the West.                                         politics—Trump’s protectionist tariffs play well
        His remarks followed the Trump administration’s                                            to certain voter blocs, even if they disrupt supply
        decision to double tariffs on Indian goods, citing                                         chains. Third is strategic necessity—the U.S. can-
        India’s Russian oil purchases as justification.                                            not afford to alienate India, a critical partner in
            Yet this pressure sits uneasily with reality. In-                                      countering Chinese influence in Asia.
        dia argues that it has not breached sanctions, and                                            Thus, America blows hot when Indian ac-
        that its purchases are vital to stabilizing global en-                                     tions appear to undercut its sanctions, and cold
        ergy markets. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishan-                                        when the costs of alienating New Delhi become
        kar reminded critics that Washington itself once                                           apparent. This explains why Navarro and Gra-
        encouraged India to buy discounted Russian oil to                                          ham lash out, while Bessent emphasizes eventual
        ease supply shocks. From New Delhi’s standpoint,                                           reconciliation.
        it is being unfairly singled out, particularly when                                           Despite the noise, both sides are unlikely to
        European nations continue importing Russian                                                allow the dispute to spiral into a rupture. India
        commodities through indirect routes.                                                       remains a vital market for U.S. companies, and
            Democrats on the House Foreign Affairs                                                 Washington values New Delhi’s role in the In-
        Committee openly questioned why India alone        External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar calls on    do-Pacific. As Bessent noted, “at the end of the
        faces such punitive tariffs while China—by far   Russian President Vladimir Putin, in Moscow recently    day, we will come together.” Yet the episode un-
        the largest buyer of Russian oil—escapes similar                                           derscores the fragility of the partnership.
        treatment. Their statement that the policy “hurts       (@DrSJaishankar X/ANI Photo)          For India, the lesson is that U.S. goodwill can
        Americans and sabotages the U.S.-India relation-                                           quickly turn coercive when Washington’s broader
        ship” highlights the contradiction: punishing India   iatory tone, expressing optimism about resolving   geopolitical agenda is at stake. For America, the
        risks damaging a key strategic partnership while   tensions and praising the personal rapport be-  risk is that by treating India differently from China
        failing to constrain Russia’s revenues.      tween Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi.  or Turkey, it undermines both its moral argument
            The mixed messaging from U.S. officials illus-  This  divergence  reflects  a  deeper  strate-  and its credibility as a consistent partner.
        trates competing priorities. On one side are hawks   gic tension. Washington wants India as both a   As global energy flows shift and the Ukraine
        like Senator Lindsey Graham, who framed India’s   trade partner and a geopolitical ally in balancing   war drags on, this cycle of pressure and accom-
        oil imports as morally complicit in civilian deaths   China, but it also demands compliance with its   modation may repeat. For now, Washington’s hot-
        in Ukraine, warning that countries buying Russian   sanctions regime against Moscow. By oscillat-  and-cold treatment of India reveals less about New
        oil will “face consequences.” On the other side,   ing between punitive tariffs and reassurances of   Delhi’s choices and more about America’s struggle
        Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent struck a concil-  partnership, the U.S. risks appearing inconsis-  to reconcile values, strategy, and domestic politics.


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