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Business EYE                                                              AUGUST 27, 2021  |      The Indian Eye                          30




          mixed signals as Sensex booms, rupee gains




           but manufacturing scrambles amid Covid-19





         Investors trimmed bearish bets on most Asian currencies as the dollar weakened on

                  hopes of a temporary pushback in the Federal Reserve’s tapering timeline



        Our Bureau                                                                                                    one’s yet doubting its potential
                                                                                                                      to  pull  off  the  world’s  fastest
        Mumbai/New Delhi                                                                                              pace  of  growth  among  major

               here are signs of recov-                                                                               economies this year.
               ery  but  there  are  also                                                                                 Unlike  China,  which  saw
        Tsigns of struggle. The In-                                                                                   workers  move  en  masse  from
        dian economy is booming and                                                                                   farms  to  factories,  India  tran-
        hobbling at the same time.                                                                                    sitioned into a services econo-
            On  Friday,  equity  bench-                                                                               my -- with the sector providing
        mark  Sensex  surged  over  175                                                                               more than 32% of overall em-
        points to close at its new life-                                                                              ployment  as  of  2020,  up  from
        time high, boosted by gains in                                                                                17% in 1981.
        TCS, L&T and HDFC amid a                                                                                          At the same time, the share
        largely subdued trend in glob-                                                                                of agriculture in jobs dropped
        al markets. The 30-share index                                                                                to 42% from 72% and manu-
        settled  175.62  points  or  0.31                                                                             facturing has plateaued at 25%.
        per  cent  higher  at  56,124.72.                                                                                 Boosting  labor  force  pro-
        Similarly,  the  broader  NSE                                                                                 ductivity is the key to faster eco-
        Nifty  gained  68.30  points  or       A man poses for photograph with the bull statue outside the Bombay     nomic growth for India, which
        0.41 per cent to finish at a re-                        Stock Exchange in Mumbai (ANI)                        is recovering from an unprece-
        cord 16,705.20.                                                                                               dented contraction brought on
            UltraTech Cement was the  tral bank.                                     In the domestic bond mar- by the pandemic.
        top gainer in the Sensex pack,          The market was focused this  ket,  the  benchmark  10-year                Data due on August 31 will
        surging  over  3  per  cent,  fol- week on the Fed’s signals at the  bond yield ended steady on the  likely show that gross domestic
        lowed by L&T, Dr Reddy’s, Ba- Jackson  Hole  conference,  but  day but rose 2 bps on the week.  product grew 21% in the April
        jaj  Finserv,  Sun  Pharma,  TCS  analysts  now  doubt  whether              But everything is not hunky  to June quarter from a year ago,
        and Kotak Bank. On the other  the central bank’s boss will pro- dory  in  Indian  economy.  For  setting the stage for an expect-
        hand, Infosys, IndusInd Bank,  vide hints about the timing of  decades,  the  services  industry  ed 9.5% full-year expansion.
        M&M, Nestle India and HCL  tapering.                                     powered  India’s  growth  and            But  India  has  repeatedly
        Tech were among the laggards.           Most other Asian currencies  tempered  unemployment  in  failed to grow its manufactur-
            Also, the rupee saw its big- and shares, however, weakened  the  world’s  second-most  pop- ing base despite demand from
        gest weekly gain in four months  as  traders  cut  risk  exposure  ulous  nation.  The  coronavirus  a captive market of more than
        on Friday as investors unwound  ahead of Powell’s speech.                pandemic  is  now  leading  to  1.3 billion people. It has instead
        long dollar positions ahead of          Investors  trimmed  bearish  calls for an urgent rebalancing  relied on a flood of imports for
        US Federal Reserve chairman  bets  on  most  Asian  curren- of the economy toward manu- everything from heavy machin-
        Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole  cies as the dollar weakened on  facturing.                                      ery to toys. Even Prime Min-
        speech.  The  partially  convert- hopes of a temporary pushback              High-contact  services  jobs  ister  Narendra  Modi’s  ‘Make
        ible rupee ended the session at  in the Federal Reserve’s taper- from airlines to hotels and malls  in  India’  initiative  to  boost
        73.68/69 per dollar, better than  ing  timeline,  while  sentiment  to multiplexes were the first to  manufacturing  to  25%  of  the
        Thursday’s  close  of  74.2150.  on the rupee turned marginally  collapse amid protracted lock- economy  has  floundered  in
        The unit rose 1% on the week,  bullish, a Reuters poll showed  downs aimed at containing the  the absence of supporting in-
        its  best  since  the  last  week  of  on Thursday.                      virus. The decline of the sector,  frastructure and ease of doing
        April.                                  “We expect RBI to remain  which  typically  accounts  for  business.
            The  Reserve  Bank  of  In- proactive with its FX interven- 55%  of  the  economy,  is  forc-                 “There  was  sudden  pres-
        dia (RBI) did not come in too  tion strategy to ensure limited  ing people to seek work on ru- sure to cut dollar longs in af-
        strongly  either  to  prevent  ru- volatility in the rupee, and con- ral farms or in the undersized  ternoon trade as investors are
        pee appreciation due to small  tinue  to  forecast  the  rupee  to  manufacturing industry.                   not  certain  the  Fed  will  end
        market  flows,  the  trader  said,  end the year at 75 versus dol-           The  economy’s  resilience  up  announcing  anything  con-
        adding  that  sporadic  dollar  lar,” Kaushik Das, chief India  will  be  tested  by  its  ability  to  crete on asset purchase taper
        buying  by  state  lenders  could  economist  at  Deutsche  Bank,  overcome  a  devastating  out- tonight,”  a  senior  trader  at  a
        have been on behalf of the cen- wrote in a note.                         break of Covid-19, although no  private bank said.


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