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OPINION                                                                  JUNE 23, 2023  |    The Indian Eye 12



        the Combined Maritime Forces two
        months ago.”
            Meanwhile,  Russia,  China  and
        Iran conducted a naval exercise in the
        Gulf of Oman in mid-March, under
        the  name  ‘Maritime  Security  Belt
        2023’.  The  naval  drills  were  widely
        viewed  by  Gulf  States  as  a  show  of
        strength by the emerging axis of Rus-
        sia,  China  and  Iran  against  the  de-
        clining  Western  commitment  to  the
        region. In fact, Chinese participation
        in this naval exercise was reported to
        be its largest ever in the Gulf and so
        it is believed that the UAE’s decision
        to quit the US-led maritime coalition
        might  have  been  influenced  by  the
        potential  alternative  presented  by
        China and Iran.
            Although  Gulf  States  have  so
        far  not  commented  upon  Iran’s  an-
        nouncement  of  a  Perso-Arab  Gulf
        naval  alliance,  China  reacted  im-
        mediately  to  the  news  and  support-
        ed  Iran’s  purported  initiative.  On  5
        June 2023, China’s Foreign Ministry             Iran’s growing militaristic prowess, such as its recent unveiling of the hypersonic ballistic missile Fattah,
        spokesman  Wang  Wenbin  respond-
        ed to news in a press meet by saying                          has exacerbated other nations coming in its range (File photo)
        that Beijing “supports regional coun-
        tries (in the Persian Gulf) in seeking   to join his country’s Global Security   sy  in  the  West,  China  has  managed   has  exacerbated  other  nations  com-
        development  through  solidarity  and   Initiative  (GSI)  “in  a  joint  effort  to   to balance the move in West Asia by   ing in its range. Iran claims that Fat-
        keeping  their  future  firmly  in  their   uphold regional peace and stability”.   signing similar strategic partnerships   tah is capable of moving at a speed
        own hands,” and added, “China will   Xi added that “China will continue to   with  12  Arab  WANA  (West  Asia,   of at least Mach 5, or five times the
        continue to play a positive and con-  firmly support GCC countries in safe-  North  Africa)  states,  with  whom  it   speed  of  sound  and  has  a  range  of
        structive  role  in  promoting  regional   guarding  their  security,  and  support   boasts of having cordial ties with con-  1,400 kilometres that would put Isra-
        peace and stability.” Meanwhile, Qa-  the  efforts  by  regional  countries  to   tending  parties  in  the  conflict-torn   el, US bases and most Arab states in
        tari news portal Al-Jadid claims that   resolve differences through dialogue   region.                the Gulf region within reach. In fact,
        China has already started mediating   and consultation and to build a Gulf                            Iran claims that this hypersonic pro-
        negotiations among Tehran, Riyadh,   collective  security  architecture”.  In   Iran’s Hypersonic Missile and   jectile  has  the  ability  to  “penetrate
        and Abu Dhabi to reinforce naviga-  fact,  West  Asia  figures  prominently   the Threat of War       all  air  defense  missile  systems  and
        tional safety in the Persian Gulf.  in  the  GSI  concept  paper  in  that  it   However,  China’s  policy  has  its   detonate them,” and a giant billboard
            In stark contrast to the West, Chi-  calls for establishing a “new security   pitfalls  and  it  may  also  be  that  the   in Tehran brazenly reads in Persian,
        na’s economic development is heavily   framework”                   country may have already overplayed   Arabic and Hebrew languages, “400
        dependent on a steady, uninterrupted   Moreover,  China  promises  to   its hand in West Asia. For now, West   seconds to Tel Aviv”.
        and relatively affordable flow of ener-  use the GSI to support the efforts of   Asian  states  are  frustrated  with  the   Thus,  China  might  have  un-
        gy resources, with over 50 percent of   regional countries to “strengthen di-  US  for  “abandoning”  the  war-torn   leashed the very threat of war in West
        its crude imports coming from West   alogue  and  improve  their  relations,   region in favour of its pivot to Asia.   Asia, which it might wish to avoid to
        Asia already. As geopolitical tensions   accommodate  the  reasonable  secu-  But  China’s  overt  support  to  Shiite   secure its long-term energy needs. By
        in the Indo-Pacific rise, the country is   rity concerns of all parties, strength-  Iran, which is an ideological rival of   promoting its own security architec-
        bedevilled by the so-called ‘Malacca   en  the  internal  forces  of  safeguard-  the US, Israel and more importantly   ture for West Asia, it is acting as a new
        Dilemma’ – which refers to the nar-  ing  regional  security,  and  support   most Sunni states in the region, could   hegemon and may have entered the
        row  Malacca  Strait,  through  which   the  League  of  Arab  States  (Arab   soon  undermine  the  country’s  sup-  Thucydides Trap by provoking the ex-
        much of China’s vital energy imports   League) and other regional organiza-  posedly “non-partisan image”.  isting superpower US, which has still
        flow and could be easily blocked by an   tions in playing a constructive role in   Iran’s growing influence in West   not  entirely  abandoned  the  region.
        adversary in times of war. Therefore,   this regard.”               Asia has been a cause of concern for
        China is looking for greater cooper-  Countries in West Asia, particu-  both  the  West  and  Israel  for  many   Dr. Adil Rasheed is Research Fellow at
        ation  to  build  alternate  land  routes   larly the Arab Gulf states, have over   years.  “Iran  is  everywhere,”  Amir   the Manohar Parrikar Institute for De-
        through Iran and Central Asia for its   the years welcomed China’s so-called   Avivi,  a  brigadier  general  in  the  Is-  fence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi
        oil supplies from Gulf and to this end   policy  of  “positive  balance”  in  the   rael  Defense  Forces’  (IDF)  reserve,   Views expressed are of the author and
        is now investing its political and stra-  region,  described  as  “not  choosing   recently told Newsweek. “And it’s not   do not necessarily reflect the views of
        tegic capital into the region.    sides, nor making enemies”. Its secu-  new, but what is new is that the possi-  the Manohar Parrikar IDSA or of the
           China’s GSI in West Asia:      rity mediation in Iraq, Sudan, Yemen   bility of war is getting bigger and big-
              “Collective Security        and  even  Israeli-Palestinian  conflict   ger. There’s more chance of a large-  Government of India.
                 Architecture”            has so far avoided criticism. Although   scale war than ever before, that is, in   This article first appeared in the
            Thus, in his address to the Chi-  China’s  signing  of  a  25-year  agree-  the last 20 or 30 years.”  Comments section of the website (www.
        na-Gulf Cooperation Council summit   ment with Iran in March 2021 as part   Iran’s growing militaristic prow-  idsa.in) of Manohar Parrikar Institute
        in  December  2022,  Chinese  Presi-  of  their  Comprehensive  Strategic   ess, such as its recent unveiling of the   for Defense Studies and Analyses, New
        dent  Xi  Jinping  invited  Gulf  States   Partnership sparked much controver-  hypersonic  ballistic  missile  Fattah,   Delhi on June 12, 2023


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