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OPINION                                                                  APRIL 07, 2023  |   The Indian Eye 10


          Improving Global Food Security:




             THE IMPACT OF THE BLACK





                          SEA GRAIN INITIATIVE







        RICHA KUMARIA

               lobal food security has been
               significantly  impacted  due  to
        Gthe  ongoing  conflict  between
        Russia and Ukraine. Rising food in-
        flation and reduced availability of key
        commodities are some of the major
        concerns. To address these challenges,
        the Black Sea Grain Initiative was in-
        troduced, which has played a vital role
        in bridging the demand and supply
        gap and providing a degree of stability
        to global food prices. Given the signif-
        icant consequences of non-coopera-
        tion, the continuation of this initiative
        is  critical to  safeguard  the future  of
        global food security.                       On 22 July 2022, the United Nations (UN) and the Republic of Türkiye brokered the deal between Russia and Ukraine
            To alleviate the effects of the con-
        flict,  the  Black  Sea  Grain  Initiative
        was introduced to regulate food sup-  has  significant  repercussions,  includ-  plied approximately 20 per cent of the   million people around the world face
        ply. With Ukrainian grain reaching   ing  disruptions in grain  exports,  re-  global barley supply and 18 per cent   hunger and malnutrition.
        global markets and Russia’s recent   duced global availability, and endan-  of maize (corn) supply. Additionally,   The current crisis, coupled with
        decision to renew the deal for an ad-  gered food security in several nations.  Russia is a major stakeholder in the   the challenges outlined, presents a sig-
        ditional 60 days, it necessitates an                                global fertiliser market, being the top   nificant threat to global food security.
        examination of the initiative’s impact   Russia and Ukraine are consid-  exporter of nitrogen (N) fertilisers and   As the global food system has become
        on global food security. Amid debates                               the second leading exporter of potas-  more fragile and vulnerable, the Black
        over multilateralism, it is also impera-  ered “Global Breadbaskets”, as   sic (K) fertilisers in 2021. It was also   Sea Grain Initiative has assuaged the
        tive to recognise the benefits of coop-  they are significant net export-  the third leading exporter of phospho-  demand–supply deficit to a certain ex-
        eration in addressing non-traditional                               rus (P) fertilisers in the same year.  tent and provided a degree of stability
        security challenges, as evidenced by  ers of agricultural commodities,   The high levels of exports from   to global food prices.
        this initiative.                  including various cereals and     Russia  and  Ukraine  reflect  a  strong   The Initiative has enhanced
            On 22  July 2022,  the  United                                  global dependence on these countries.   global food security by increasing the
        Nations (UN) and the Republic of  oilseeds.  According to the Unit-  Nearly 50 countries depend on them   availability, affordability and accessi-
        Türkiye brokered the deal between   ed Nations Food and Agriculture   for at least 30 per cent of their wheat   bility of key food commodities. Since
        Russia and Ukraine to establish a safe                              imports, with 26 countries sourcing   the commencement of the Initiative in
        humanitarian corridor for the trans-  Organization (FAO), in  2021,   over 50 per cent of their wheat im-  August 2022, more than 1,600 vessel
        portation of grains and fertilisers from   the two countries accounted   ports from these two countries. This   shipments have transported 24 million
        the ports of Chornomorsk, Odesa and                                 heavy reliance is particularly evident   metric tonnes (MMT) of export com-
        Yuzhny/ Pivdennyi. The agreement  for almost 30 per cent of global   in the Middle East and North Afri-  modities, including wheat, corn, bar-
        aimed to address the growing global   wheat exports and 78 per cent   ca (MENA) region, where countries   ley, sunflower oil and soybeans. Corn
        food insecurity concerns, rising prices                             such as Lebanon, Libya, Oman, Ye-  and Wheat constitute 77 per cent of
        and facilitate the unimpeded export of  of global sunflower oil exports.   men, Tunisia, Jordan, and Morocco   the total exports. The increased sup-
        food, sunflower oil and fertilisers from                            are heavily dependent on Russia and   ply of food commodities through the
        the three ports.                      In the same year, Russia was the   Ukraine for their food supply.   Initiative has had a causal effect on
            The relevance of the Black Sea   top global wheat exporter, shipping   The abrupt exit of two key play-  global food prices, with the UNFAO’s
        Grain  Initiative  can  be  explained  by   32.9 million tonnes of wheat and mes-  ers from the global food market had   Food Price Index declining for the
        two contextual factors. First, through   lin, which is equivalent to 18 per cent   a  significant  impact  on  food  prices,   11th consecutive month in February
        an assessment of Russia and Ukraine’s   of global shipments. Ukraine, mean-  as evidenced by the UNFAO’s food   2023, dropping 18.7 per cent from its
        pivotal role in the global food security   while, was the sixth largest wheat ex-  price index which reached an all-time   peak in March 2022. The Initiative
        nexus, making their cooperation vital   porter, shipping 20 million tonnes of   high in March 2022. The absence of   has also played a critical role in re-in-
        in ensuring stable and secure food   wheat and meslin, accounting for 10   Russia and Ukraine from global food   vigorating port activity in the region,
        supplies. Second, an assessment of   per cent of the global market share.   markets must also be contextualised   reducing transportation time and im-
        how the absence of this cooperation   Before the pandemic, they also sup-  in light of the reality that nearly 828   Continued on next page... >>


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