Page 14 - The Indian EYE 123121
P. 14

OpINION                                                            DECEMBER 31, 2021  |      The Indian Eye 14



        in Tajikistan in 2016. This has been                                                                  ica’s Adversaries Through Sanctions
        considerably expanded in the wake                                                                     Act (CAATSA).
        of the takeover of Afghanistan by the                                                                     Afghanistan was a major subject
        Taliban in August 2021. Enhanced                                                                      of bilateral deliberations between
        India–Russia collaboration in Cen-                                                                    Modi and Putin, as also during the
        tral Asia will be a win-win proposi-                                                                  2+2 dialogue. There have been dif-
        tion not only for these two countries                                                                 ferences in the perspectives of the
        but also for the Central Asian States                                                                 two sides on Afghanistan over the
        who want to protect their sovereign-                                                                  last several years. Russia was actively
        ty from Chinese dominance.                                                                            engaging with the Taliban and had
            Russia’s Far East has the po-                                                                     also established some dialogue for-
        tential to emerge as an important                                                                     mats at which it did not invite India.
        area of bilateral cooperation. This                                                                   The ground situation changed dras-
        region is extremely well endowed                                                                      tically in mid-August 2021 when the
        with natural and mineral resources.                                                                   Taliban took over Kabul and gave no
        It covers about 40 per cent of Rus-                                                                   indication of abiding by its commit-
        sia’s land area but accounts for only                                                                 ments of forming an inclusive gov-
        per cent of the Russian population.                                                                   ernment, respecting the rights of mi-
        It urgently needs investment and                                                                      norities as well as of the women and
        trained manpower. PM Modi had                                                                         children,  and  not  allowing  its  terri-
        extended a Line of Credit of US$                                                                      tory to be used for terrorist attacks
        1 billion during his visit to Vladivo-                                                                against neighbors.  Currently, there
        stok in 2019 to explore opportuni-         India has begun to receive the S-400 missile system from Russia (ANI)  is near-complete convergence on the
        ties for greater Indian engagement                                                                    viewpoints of India and Russia on
        with that region.5 The Chief Minis-                                                                   the way forward in Afghanistan. This
        ters of four Indian States, viz., Uttar                                                               is  extensively  reflected  in  the  Joint
        Pradesh, Haryana, Goa and Gujarat,                                                                    Declaration.
        as well as the Indian Commerce and                                                                        The one jarring note was the
        Industry Minister, Piyush Goyal,                                                                      rather aggressive criticism by Rus-
        had travelled to the region before                                                                    sian  Foreign  Minister Sergey Lav-
        Prime Minister Modi’s visit in 2019                                                                   rov of the Indo-Pacific (he called it
        to explore possibilities of enhancing                                                                 a ‘slogan’), non-inclusive alliances,
        co-operation. In the post-pandemic                                                                    AUKUS, etc. in his press conference
        period, this region beckons strongly                                                                  after the meeting. The propriety
        for greater Indian engagement. This                                                                   of such combative statements and
        would be particularly welcome for                                                                     also of open criticism of the US on
        Russia due to the lurking danger of                                                                   CAATSA from Indian soil is highly
        Chinese expansionism which appears                                                                    questionable. This is in spite of the
        to have increased in recent years, go-                                                                fact that Putin has shown under-
        ing by the sinister comments in some                                                                  standing of India’s position on the
        sections of the Chinese social media                                                                  Indo-Pacific and the Quad.
        after the celebration of Vladivostok                                                                      President Putin’s short but high-
        Day by the Russian Embassy in Bei-                                                                    ly consequential visit and the launch
        jing last year.                                                                                       of the 2+2 format have imbued new
            The Arctic is another region                                                                      dynamism into the bilateral part-
        where both sides can collaborate for                                                                  nership. There might be a few ar-
        mutual benefits. President Putin had                                                                  eas of divergence between the two
        extended an invitation to India to col-                                                               sides but spheres of convergence are
        laborate on Arctic during PM Modi’s                                                                   much greater. These will continue to
        visit in 2019. The region is extremely                                                                navigate the bilateral partnership to
        rich in mineral resources including                                                                   make it more robust and vigorous in
        hydrocarbons and fossil fuels. It also                                                                the coming days.
        faces risk of increased Chinese pres-
        ence which has declared itself as a                                                                     Ashok Sajjanhar is President, Insti-
        ‘Near Arctic State’ although no such                                                                   tute of Global Studies, and a former
        concept exists in the Constitution of   External Affairs Minister Dr. S Jaishankar and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov    Ambassador of India to Kazakhstan,
        the Arctic Council. The India–Rus-  greet each other with the elbow bump as they meet prior to the inaugural India-Russia 2+2   Sweden and Latvia.
        sia Joint Statement refers to the po-                Ministerial Dialogue in New Delhi (ANI)           Views expressed are of the author and
        tential of cooperation between the                                                                     do not necessarily reflect the views of
        two countries in this area.                                                                            the Manohar Parrikar IDSA or of the
            In the face of the huge flux in the   sis and accession of Crimea to Rus-  China on the northern land frontier
        global security and economic archi-  sia in 2014. It has also moved closer   as well as in the Indian Ocean. As   Government of India.
        tecture in recent years, India–Russia   to Pakistan for establishing a direct   evidence of the strategic autonomy   This is the abridged version of the
        ties have demonstrated remarkable   connect with the Taliban, and for ex-  exercised by India, it has imported   article which appeared first in the
        resilience. Russia has gone deep into   ploring greater military and econom-  five units of the S-400 Triumf ballistic   Comment section of the website (www.
        the embrace of China as a result of   ic  opportunities  in  Pakistan.  India   missile defense system, worth more   idsa.in) of Manohar Parrikar Institute
        sanctions imposed by the US and the   has moved closer to the US on ac-  than US$ 5 billion, notwithstanding   for Defense Studies and Analyses, New
        West in the wake of the Ukraine cri-  count of the threat it confronts from   the US threat of Countering Amer-  Delhi on December 16, 2021


                                                               www.TheIndianEYE.com
   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19