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BIG STORY                                                          DECEMBER 15, 2023  |      The Indian Eye                     5



        itated by BJP national president J P                                                                  any one person; work is done by ev-
        Nadda on his arrival.                                                                                 eryone’s strength. Every BJP worker
            Now, BJP has the crucial task                                                                     deserves this victory. Those people
        of selecting potential chief ministe-                                                                 who have spent their lives in building
        rial candidates to lead new cabinets                                                                  the party also deserve this victory.
        for  the  upcoming  five  years.  BJP                                                                 We are just there for the sake of pur-
        trumped not just their rivals but also                                                                pose. The power of community is our
        some pollsters who had predicted                                                                      strength,” the PM added.
        tight races in these states. The elec-                                                                    It is not just talk. Modi and his
        tion results in four states, especial-                                                                party are working on a plan, with
        ly the losses in Rajasthan, Madhya                                                                    Modi asking the MPs to participate
        Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, came as a                                                                   actively in the ongoing Viksit Bharat
        huge blow to the Congress’s hopes for                                                                 Sankalp Yatra, a programme to reach
        2024 as it is now out of power across                                                                 out  to  beneficiaries  of  the  govern-
        a vast swathe of the Hindi heartland.                                                                 ment schemes that began on Novem-
            Now  that  voters  in  five  states                                                               ber 15 and will conclude on January
        have rendered their judgments in                                                                      25,  the  Janman  programme  for  the
        a clutch of recently concluded state                                                                  particularly vulnerable tribal groups
        assembly elections, the eyes of 1.4                                                                   and extremely backward as well as
        billion Indians—and those observ-                                                                     the Vishwakarma programme.
        ing from abroad—turn to the coun-                                                                         Even international observers are
        try’s general elections, expected to                                                                  quite confident of Modi and BJP sit-
        be held over several weeks in April–                                                                  ting pretty and confidently in 2024.
        May 2024.                                                                                                 According to a Carnegie Endow-
            The results of the December 3                                                                     ment report, the results confirm what
        state polls provided a big boost to                                                                   is already common knowledge: “as
        the Bharatiya Janata Party of Prime   Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath greets Narendra Modi in New Delhi (ANI)  far as the 2024 parliamentary elec-
        Minister Narendra Modi. The par-                                                                      tions are concerned, the BJP remains
        ty swept elections in the Hindi belt   cent. Regional parties got the op-  Pradesh, and this is an eye-opening   firmly  in  pole  position.  This  advan-
        states of Chhattisgarh, Madhya    portunity to go to elections 36 times   fact. This was many years ago, he   tage is principally driven by Modi’s
        Pradesh, and Rajasthan. The lone   while in government, and they came   had told how the BJP party became   enduring popularity.”
        victory for the opposition Indian Na-  back after repeating 18 times. That   a subject of study,” he added.  According to Morning Consult,
        tional Congress came in the southern   means their success rate has been 50   Modi also said that people like   which tracks the weekly approval rat-
        state of Telangana. Neither the BJP   per cent,” PM Modi said.      BJP’s governance, decision making   ings of more than twenty democrati-
        nor the Congress Party figured prom-  He further said the results of the   and transparency. “I have said this   cally elected world leaders, 78 percent
        inently in the Mizoram battle.    polls mean that the policies of the   many times before that this matter   of Indians surveyed in late Novem-
            The BJP, which had been bat-  BJP are right. “Let me give you an   should be studied. If you do research   ber approved of Modi’s job perfor-
        tling close to 20 years of incumbency,   example. This happened when I was   on different governments, Congress,   mance. Modi’s net approval (cal-
        won a resounding mandate bagging   a small worker of the BJP. This is 40-  regional parties and coalition gov-  culated as the share of respondents
        163 seats while the Congress finished   50 years after independence. A gen-  ernments,  you  will  find  that  BJP  is   who approve of his performance mi-
        a distant second at 66 seats. In Rajas-  tleman had done research on various   the best-performing party,” he said.  nus those who disapprove) is a stun-
        than, the vote count painted a stark-  governments in Madhya Pradesh    He also said that his party has   ning +60. The second-most-popular
        ly different picture to what some of   and shared it with me. He found   an advantage in that it never faces   leader  on  the  list  is  Mexican  Presi-
        the pollsters had predicted, with the   that Madhya Pradesh gained a lot of   anti-incumbency. “Victory in these   dent Andrés Manuel López Obra-
        BJP poised to form the government,   momentum during the time the BJP   elections is the victory of our collec-  dor, whose net rating is “only” +30.
        winning 115 seats, and the Congress   government was in power in Madhya   tive strength. Victory is not due to   It is even more remarkable that Mo-
        trailing at 69 seats. Of the 90 assem-                                                                di’s approval has been remarkably
        bly constituencies in Chhattisgarh,                                                                   consistent since August 2019, the
        the BJP bagged 54 while the Con-                                                                      date  that  data  were  first  available.
        gress won 35.                                                                                             Domestic opinion polls confirm
            Setting the tone for the 2024                                                                     that Modi’s popularity remains in-
        elections, Modi said while the BJP                                                                    tact  and  that  this  continues  to  fuel
        got re-elected for the second time                                                                    his party’s dominance. The biannual
        56 per cent of the time, the per-                                                                     Mood of the Nation poll from India
        centage of the Congress party for a                                                                   Today has consistently shown, includ-
        second term was below 20 per cent.                                                                    ing as recently as August 2023, that
        “Yesterday, someone sent me an                                                                        the BJP-led National Democratic
        analysis that shows that out of the 40                                                                Alliance (NDA) would handily cap-
        Congress governments who got the                                                                      ture a majority of seats in the Lok
        opportunity to contest elections (in                                                                  Sabha, even if its majority reduces
        different states), they were re-elect-                                                                compared to its 2019 tally (when it
        ed only 7 times. That means their                                                                     notched 353 seats), according to the
        success rate is 18 per cent. BJP gov-                                                                 Carnegie report.
        ernments got the opportunity to go                                                                        There seems to be a complete
        among the people 39 times. Out of   Madhya Pradesh Congress President Kamal Nath during a meeting over Assembly election   consensus – from New Delhi to Wash-
        39, the BJP government was formed   loss in Chhattisgarh being chaired by party president Mallikarjun Kharge, in New Delhi on   ington DC to Moscow – that Naren-
        22  times i.e. it  was  repeated. That   Friday. Party leaders Rahul Gandhi and KC Venugopal also seen (ANI Photo/Jitender Gupta)  dra Modi looks like a leader who
        means the success rate was 56 per                                                                     can’t be beaten now – and in 2024.


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