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OPINION                                                            NOVEMBER 24, 2023  |      The Indian Eye 12



        tions to extract a word on Kashmir—                                                                       Pakistan’s relevance, be it in In-
        in 2013 and 2018. He was not success-                                                                 dia’s national discourse or its interna-
        ful as the joint statement at the end                                                                 tional calculus, has clearly declined.
        of  Sharif’s  meeting  with  President                                                                India is gaining an upper hand in
        Obama mentioned nuclear terrorism                                                                     managing ties with Pakistan. India
        instead of nuclear parity with India.                                                                 is on diplomatic offensive against
            However, there have also been                                                                     Pakistan and has opted for military
        perpetual deviances in Nawaz Shar-                                                                    means to deter terrorism even if it
        if’s policy while following the conven-                                                               entails breaching the Line of Con-
        tional Pak India approach. In May                                                                     trol. As for Sharif’s statements about
        2014, he attended the oath-taking                                                                     forging  “good  ties” with  India,  it  is
        ceremony  of  Prime  Minister  Nar-                                                                   pertinent to note that in the past as
        endra Modi despite resistance from                                                                    well, his overtures to India failed to
        the Army. In December 2015, Sharif                                                                    materialise into any meaningful en-
        warmly hosted Prime Minister Modi                                                                     gagement. In his 2015 UN speech,
        during his grand-daughter’s wedding                                                                   for instance, Sharif put forward a
        in Lahore. He is the face of summit                                                                   four-point “new peace initiative” that
        diplomacy with India given his role in   The Indus Waters Treaty has long remained a paradoxical example of bilateral understanding   included demilitarising Kashmir and
        the Lahore Resolution signed after                   between India and Pakistan (File photo)          Siachen, and formalising the 2003
        Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee                                                                   ceasefire,  describing  these  as  the
        travelled to Lahore on a bus in Feb-  Formal dialogue between the   end of J&K’s special status at world   “simplest” measures to move towards
        ruary 1999. He is associated with the   two sides has eluded the India–Pak   forums, albeit without much traction.   peace between the two countries”.
        Ufa statement of July 2015 that did   bilateral landscape for quite some   Pakistan’s  strategy  and  its  Kashmir
        not mention Kashmir.              time. India’s approach on not toler-  stance has been unable to reconcile   Sharif’s latest statements were
            At the SAFMA (South Asia Free   ating Pakistan perpetrated terrorism   with the structural changes in J&K
        Media Association) event of 2011, it   continues to guide its policy. The   and it continues to harp on propagat-  immediately followed by Indian
        was Sharif who daringly drew an in-  paradigm of ‘terror and talks cannot   ing the ills of India’s so-called unilat-  security forces gunning down
        teresting analogy with India saying:   go  together’  has  been  adhered  to.   eral action on the former state.
        “There is one border between us. We   India’s stance was reiterated in the   India–Pakistan diplomatic ties   five terrorists who had infil-
        are members of the same society and   wake of overtures by Pakistan Prime   moreover remain downgraded since   trated from across the LoC. It
        share the same background, culture   Minister Shehbaz Sharif urging “se-  the August 2019 decision to abrogate
        and even the dishes and vegetables.   rious and sincere talk” with India’s   Article 370 in J&K. The respective   is a fact that whenever civil-
        Like you, we also eat aaloo gosht”.   leadership having “learnt its lesson”   missions have since then been repre-  ian governments have shown
        It was at this platform that Sharif   that wars with India “brought noth-  sented by Charge d’Affaires instead
        spoke of how India’s leadership felt   ing except misery, poverty and unem-  of full-time envoys.     receptivity towards engaging
        backstabbed as the Kargil intrusions   ployment”.                       Domestic discourse in Pakistan   with  India, the so-called non-
        were staged within few months of the   The Indus Waters Treaty has   is  flagging  “monumental  change  in
        Lahore Resolution.                long remained a paradoxical exam-  India’s fortunes” and its democratic   state anti-India constituencies
            Looking at the current strands   ple of bilateral understanding be-  consistency as a “steady, coherent   have augmented infiltration at-
        of the bilateral equations, there   tween India and Pakistan. The treaty   and functional polity”. There is talk
        have  been  significant  developments   mediated by the World Bank in 1960   of India’s deft handling of geopoliti-  tempts or carried out attacks
        that in normal course generate re-  has been under pressure of late as   cal issues and its positioning as lead-  inside J&K.
        flection  and  debate.  India  invited   suggestions to revoke it to punish   er of the Global South. Pakistan’s
        Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Bilawal   Pakistan for acts of terror against In-  politicians have mentioned India in   Given the current state of bilat-
        Bhutto to attend the SCO’s For-   dia have been made. India has so far   their moments of introspection as   eral ties, it is rather difficult to pre-
        eign Ministers’ Summit and Islam-  refrained from doing so. However, in   well. Khawaja Asif as Defence Minis-  dict when and whether the two coun-
        abad obliged. Besides, India issued   January 2023, India put Pakistan on   ter in the National Assembly in Jan-  tries can meaningfully engage going
        Pakistan a notice on the proposed   notice by seeking amendments in the   uary 2023 condemned the Peshawar   forward.
        amendments it seeks in the Indus   “agreed mode of dispute resolution”.  mosque attack that killed more than   India needs to assess evolving
        Water Treaty to safeguard it interests   The apathy between the two   100  worshippers  and  admitted  that   situation  given  flare-up  of  region-
        in the framework of the 1960 treaty   sides has deepened in the wake of   “we sowed the seeds for terrorism”.  al tensions in the aftermath of the
        inciting strong reactions from Islam-  recent terrorist attacks unleashed in   Geopolitically,  India is  in  a   Hamas  attack  on  Israel  while  con-
        abad. Pervez Musharraf’s death on 5   J&K over the past few years— begin-  much better “comfort zone” fuelled   tinuing to be vigilant to prevent po-
        February (the so-called Kashmir Sol-  ning from Gurdaspur (July 2015) to   mainly by its successful stint as G-20   tential breaches to national security.
        idarity Day) stirred a debate, though   Pathankot (January 2016), Uri (Sep-  presidency or the adept handling of
        transient, on India–Pakistan and the   tember 2016) followed  by  Pulwama   global complexities involving Russia–  Priyanka Singh is Associate Fellow at
        question of resolvability of Kashmir   (February 2019) to the more recent   Ukraine War. In contrast to this, Pa-  the Manohar Parrikar Institute for De-
        problem during his tenure as Presi-  ones at Poonch (April 2023) and in   kistan is seen frantically moving with   fence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
        dent.                             Rajouri (January and May 2023).   a begging bowl to salvage its econo-  Views expressed are of the author and
            Despite the aforementioned    The  prevalent sense  in India is of   my from an imminent default.
                                                                                                               do not necessarily reflect the views of
        talking points, over a period, India–  ‘enough is enough’. As an outcome   The  chimera  around  the  Chi-  the Manohar Parrikar IDSA or of the
        Pak bilateral paradigm continues to   of growing wariness, India slowly   na Pakistan Economic Corridor      Government of India.
        be characterised by frostiness and   veered away from what has primarily   is faded. The juxtaposition of the
        animus, mainly over the issue of   remained a dialogue of the deaf.  corridor  against  Pakistan’s  eco-  This article first appeared in the
        Kashmir. Amidst the overarching       Pakistan for its part upped the   nomic mess and the prominence   Comments section of the website (www.
        dismal  state  of  bilateral  equations,   ante against India after the annul-  of its shortfalls have eclipsed the   idsa.in) of Manohar Parrikar Institute
        the prevalent dynamics have primar-  ment of the Article 370. Ever since,   earlier discourse  centred  selec-  for Defense Studies and Analyses, New
        ily consisted of the following aspects.  Pakistan has been raising the issue of   tively on it being a ‘game changer’.  Delhi on November 17, 2023


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