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BUSINESS & TRADE                                                 SEPTEMBER 19, 2025        |  The Indian Eye 42


          Festive Cheer and GST Reforms





             Set to Rev Up Indian Economy







               Slow credit growth dampened sentiment earlier this year, but festive demand

                          and tax reforms are expected to spark a revival across sectors.



        OUR BUREAU                                                                                               CONSUMER DEMAND AS
                                                                                                                     GROWTH ENGINE
        Mumbai / New Delhi
                                                                                                                    he festive period, which typical-
            ndia’s economic momentum,                                                                               ly accounts for 30-40 per cent
            muted in recent months by slug-
        Igish  credit  growth  and  cautious                                                                  Tof annual sales for many con-
                                                                                                              sumer-facing industries, is expected
        consumer sentiment, is poised for a
        lift  as  the  twin  forces  of  festive  de-                                                         to amplify the positive impact of the
                                                                                                              tax changes. Retailers, auto dealers,
        mand  and  the  government’s  new                                                                     and consumer durable makers  are
        Goods and Services Tax (GST) re-                                                                      gearing up for a surge in footfalls as
        forms converge. Industry leaders and                                                                  shoppers  return  to  markets  with  re-
        economists believe this combination                                                                   newed confidence.
        could trigger a turnaround in both                                                                        Kidwai  pointed  out  that  India’s
        consumer spending and corporate in-
                                                                                                              strength lies in its domestic demand.
        vestments, providing a much-needed                                                                    While  global  headwinds  such  as  the
        boost to growth.                                                                                      U.S. tariff war may hurt export-orient-
            According to Reserve Bank of
        India (RBI) data, bank credit grew at                                                                 ed sectors like apparel, leather, and
        12.1 per cent in 2024-25, compared                                                                    jewellery, she argued that bolstering
                                                                                                              local consumption would offset much
        to 16.3 per cent in the previous year.                                                                of the pain. “India is largely a domes-
        This slowdown has been widely seen                                                                    tic-driven economy. If we can pump
        as a reflection of weak capital expen-                                                                up domestic demand, it can pick up
        diture and subdued demand. “Bank                                                                      from anything that we suffer in terms
        credit  growth  has  been  slow  and
        that’s an indication of both the lack-                                                                of exports,” she said.
                                                                                                                  While the immediate boost may
        lustre capital expenditure environ-                                                                   come from Diwali shopping and car
        ment  and  demand  being  low,”  said                                                                 purchases, analysts say the reforms
        Naina  Lal  Kidwai,  Chairperson  of                                                                  will have deeper implications for the
        Rothschild and Co India Pvt Ltd, on                                                                   economy. By rationalising GST rates,
        the sidelines of the FICCI LEADS            Naina Lal Kidwai, Former President, FICCI, is very optimistic about    the  government  has  not  only put
        event in New Delhi.                                   the Indian economy  (ANI File Photo)            more money into the hands of con-
            Yet Kidwai struck an optimistic
        note, highlighting that the upcoming   among the first to benefit from the GST   self,  we  are  seeing  better  levels  of   sumers but also created a clearer path
                                                                                                              for businesses to plan investments.
        festival  season,  coupled  with  GST   changes. At the 65th SIAM Annual   enquiries at dealerships relative to   The  renewed  demand  could  set
        rate cuts on key consumer goods   Convention, Partho Banerjee, Senior  August, which shows that consumers   off a virtuous cycle: companies utilis-
        and  automobiles, is set to  rekindle   Executive  Officer  of  Marketing  and   are responding to the reforms. With   ing idle capacity, stepping up capital
        demand. “The good news is that with   Sales at Maruti Suzuki, described the   Navratri and Diwali around the cor-  expenditure, and banks responding
        the GST reforms and the festival sea-  rate cuts as a “gift” from Prime Min-  ner, we expect strong sales momen-  with  greater  lending.  This,  in  turn,
        son coming up, there is a very strong   ister Narendra Modi to consumers.  tum,” he said.             may  help  address  India’s  twin  con-
        sense of excitement that demand will   “We hope that those who want to   MG Motor India also noted that   cerns of job creation and industrial
        come back,” she said. “When de-
        mand picks up, idle capacities will be   upgrade  to  four-wheelers  grab  this   customer  sentiment  had  improved   expansion.
                                                                                                                  For now, however, all eyes are on
                                          opportunity,” Banerjee said. Maruti
                                                                            sharply.  The  company,  which  has
        utilised, and companies will begin to   has pledged to immediately pass on   steadily expanded its share in the   the coming months. With consumers
        spend more on Capex. That cycle is
        exactly what the government has set   the benefits of the new GST rates to   electric  vehicle  (EV)  market,  be-  eager to spend, automakers slashing
                                                                            lieves the timing of reforms will ac-
                                                                                                              prices, and the government’s GST re-
                                          customers, not just on car sales but
        in motion with the GST reforms.”
                                          also on service parts and labour.  celerate adoption further. “EVs are   lief putting more cash in circulation, the
           AUTO SECTOR LEADS THE              Other automakers echoed the   already sitting at about 6 per cent   festive season of 2025 could mark the
                    CHARGE                sentiment.  Anurag  Mehrotra,  Man-  of the passenger vehicle market, up   beginning of a much-needed revival.
                                          aging Director of JSW Motor In-   from 2.5 per cent last year. Consum-  As Kidwai summed up: “The start
              he  automobile  sector,  often   dia, called the GST rationalisation   ers are responding strongly to the   of the demand cycle is very critical.
              considered  a  bellwether  of   a “long-awaited step” for the sector.  savings on fuel and running costs,”   With GST reforms and the festive sea-
        Tconsumer confidence, has been  “In the first 10 days of the month it-  said Mehrotra.                son, India has the right triggers in place.”

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