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Op-Ed                                                                SEPTEMBER 03, 2021  |        The Indian Eye                          16



                          exit the uS, enter taliban?





                  Views and opinions from the top commentators in Indian media



                 ith  no  bases  in  neigh-                                                                             the chinA chALLenge
                 boring  countries  and
       Wdrone attacks more a                                                                                         U        nsure  about  India’s
        revenge  play  than  a  counter-                                                                                      assured     second-strike
        terrorism measure – aside from                                                                                        capability,     especially
        the fact they often hit innocents                                                                             against China, some Indian ana-
        as  well  as  terrorists  –  there’s                                                                          lysts, writes Menon, “believe that
        little  the  US  can  do  if  Taliban                                                                         India should change its no-first-
        allows Afghanistan to again re-                                                                               use policy and begin to think of
        gress  into  an  international  ter-                                                                          nuclear  weapons  as  war-fight-
        ror launchpad. In fact, even with                                                                             ing weapons to compensate for
        Pakistan’s  so-called  influence                                                                              India’s conventional inferiority
        over  Taliban,  militants  from                                                                               against China.” The assumption
        across  the  Durand  Line  fired                                                                              is that since nuclear powers do
        and killed two Pakistani soldiers                                                                             not go to war there is very little
        on Sunday.                                                                                                    possibility of a war between In-
            So, a plateful of problems for   icon  by  supporters  of  such  an  state. The mess in Afghanistan       dia and China. However, if war
        India. The biggest being it needs    approach.  These  include  “stra- has numerous manifestations. A         happens, it would, at best, be a
        to be prepared for the Pakistani                                                                              limited border war.
        military-ISI  complex  using  the    tegic patience” and not granting  humongous  humanitarian  cri-             The  origin  of  this  thinking
        situation in Afghanistan to step    “legitimacy”. While some mem- sis  is  unfolding,  with  countless        that  nuclear  powers  do  not  go
                                             bers of the Indian foreign policy  Afghans battling death, hunger
        up  anti-India  terror  activities.   and  strategic  community  now  and displacement.                       to war lies in Cold War theology,
        There are already reports of JeM     seem willing to accept the need         The shadow of reprisal           where  it  was  correctly  believed
        and LeT increasing their efforts     for open contact with the Tali- hangs heavy over the nation as           that the presence of nuclear
        to  push  militants  into  Jammu                                                                              weapons  with  the  US  and  Rus-
        and Kashmir. Clearly, there are      ban by the government, others  the  Taliban,  Afghanistan’s  new         sia  prevented  war  between  the
        too  many  moving  parts  in  Af-    are not willing to go so far.       masters,  conduct  a  witch-hunt     two blocs — NATO and Warsaw
                                                The  latter  are  suggesting  against their opponents in spite
        ghanistan today and therefore it     out-of-sight  contacts  would  be  of  an  announcement  of  grant-      Pact  —  which  had  divided  the
        would be best to adopt a wait-       preferable. The external affairs  ing general amnesty.                   world. Holding it as a truism for
        and-watch  approach  to  recog-      minister has indirectly conced-         These     divisions   in    Af-  all times to come, Indian analysts
        nizing the incoming Taliban re-      ed  that  there  have  been  such  ghanistan      are    being     mir-  –  comprising  policymakers,  the
        gime.  The  Indian  ambassador                                                                                military brass and retired senior
        in  Qatar  yesterday  met  Sher      contacts with the Taliban, if only  rored in the deep chasms in          officers – have superimposed this
        Mohammad  Abbas  Stanekzai,          for functional reasons.             the  international  fraternity.      template  on  India.  Hence,  this
                                                What is being overlooked is
                                                                                     Russia,  China  and  Pakistan
        head of Taliban’s political office   that  “strategic  patience”  can- have moved quickly to press            popular  narrative  has  emerged
        in Doha, while the UNSC under        not  be  an  alibi  for  inaction.  for  international  assistance  —    since  the  Ladakh  2020  stand-
        India’s presidency has adopted       The invocation of the British  recognition?  —  for  Afghan-             off  between  India  and  China.
        a resolution calling for Afghan      Raj  policy  of  “masterly  inac- istan’s  new  overlords,  while           These  assumptions  —  no
        territory not to be used to shel-                                                                             war,  or  a  limited  one  between
        ter  terrorists.  New  Delhi  must   tivity”  by  some  scholars  de- India and the United States             India and China — have neither
        now  work  with  Washington  to      fies  logic  for  it  applied  in  a  of  America  are  among  sever-    been  analyzed  nor  war-gamed.
                                             completely  different  context.  al democratic countries that
        draw  red  lines  for  Taliban,  of-  In  any  event,  it  accepted  the  have desisted from reaching out     The reality is that let alone
        fering  recognition  and  invest-    person  who  controlled  Kabul. the  hand  of  cooperation  just         the  People’s  Liberation  Army
        ments as incentives for fulfilling              Vivek katju,             yet.  These  fissures  in  the  coa-  (PLA),  these  assumptions  do
        anti-terror  commitments.  And                                                                                not  even  hold  true  against  the
        hope that these incentives work.            The Indian Express           lition  of  global  nations  would,   Pakistani  military,  whose  capa-
                     editorial,                      A us FAiLure                undoubtedly,  affect  Afghani-       bilities,  with  China’s  support,
               The Times of India                                                 stan’s ground realities adversely.   have  increased  substantially.
                                                                                     The  challenge,  therefore,
                                                     aving failed to midwife     is  for  stakeholders,  including             Pravin sawhney,
                                                     the  birth  of  a  robust,
           strAtegic PAtience               Hinclusive democracy in               competitors like India and Pa-                  The Wire

            ndia  continues  to  “wait  Afghanistan, the United States           kistan  and  the  US  and  China,        Every week, we look at what
            and  watch”  Afghan  devel- of America has now retreat-              to arrive at a consensus to ush-        the top commentators in the
        Iopments.  While  it  does  so,  ed from  that war-scarred  land         er  in  stability  in  the  country.  Indian media are talking about
                                                                                                                           and bring to you a slice
        many new terms are being add- after  two  decades,  leaving  the                 the editorial board,          of their opinions and comments
        ed to the Indian diplomatic lex- country in a far more chaotic                    Telegraph India


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