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IMMIGRATION                                                          AUGUST 01, 2025       |  The Indian Eye 36



                   The Exception that Disproves the



             Rule: How Matter of K-E-S-G-‘s FGM


                 Exception Exposes Its Incoherence






        BY DAVID ISAACSON          work, I want to focus on why  lation and our holding in this   group in the FGM context  seca, the outcome in Hassan
                                   an exception that the BIA  case does not affect the via-
                                                                                                                     should have been the same
                                                                                          in a country where the prev-
        I  n its recent decision in  made  in  multiple footnotes  bility of such claims in the fu-  alence of FGM is so high.  if only 10% of women in So-
                                                                                                                     malia were subject to FGM,
           Matter
                        K-E-S-G-,
                                   of K-E-S-G- for cases relating  ture” and on this basis distin-
                                                                                          (The BIA does not make en-
                    of
           29 I&N Dec. 245 (BIA  to female genital mutilation  guishes Hassan v. Gonzales,
        2025), the Board of Immigra-  (FGM) actually makes clear  484 F.3d 513 (8th Cir. 2007),   tirely clear how it would ana-  if that implied a 10% proba-
                                                                                          lyze an FGM case involving a  bility that a particular asylum
        tion Appeals (BIA) held that  that the entire decision is log-  which recognized a partic-  lower prevalence than 98%,  applicant would be so subject
        “a  particular  social  group  ically incoherent.     ular social group of Somali   although footnote 8 of K-E-  by virtue of being a woman.
        defined by the alien’s sex or   The BIA in K-E-S-G- re-  females in the context of a   S-G- broadly exempts FGM  The same is logically true of
        sex and nationality, standing  jected the claim of the Sal-  claim based on FGM.  claims from the decision’s  any other form of mistreat-
        alone, is overbroad and in-  vadoran asylum applicant     The BIA’s exception for   holding without reference to  ment,  sufficiently  severe  to
        sufficiently  particular  to  be  in that case, and seemingly  FGM was presumably made   a numerical cutoff.)  qualify as persecution, that a
        cognizable under the  INA”  attempted to pre-empt the  because of case law such as   Asylum, however, does  woman is exposed to with a
        as a basis for asylum. Matter  asylum  claims  of  all  other  Hassan, and perhaps because   not require that persecution  10% or greater likelihood, in
        of K-E-S-G-, 29 I&N Dec.  women who assert that they  of a more general realization   have a 98% likelihood, or  a particular country, by virtue
        at 152. Several organizations  face persecution due to their  that it would be facially lu-  anything close to that. The  of being a woman—keeping
        have  already  explained why  gender and nationality (ab-  dicrous to deny that wom-  statutory standard under 8  in mind, again, that statis-
        this decision is an unlawful  sent other factors). In foot-  en subjected to FGM have   U.S.C. § 1158(b)(1)(A) and  tical certainty is usually not
        attack on refugee women  notes 7 and 8 of its decision,  faced persecution—although   8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(42)(A) is,  obtainable in these matters.
        that will have horrible con-  however, the BIA states that  even if the BIA had taken   instead, a well-founded fear   Since the regulations at
        sequences. In this blog post,  K-E-S-G- “does not involve a  that ludicrous step, Court   of persecution. The Supreme  8  CFR  208.13(b)(1)  and  8
        rather than duplicating that  claim of female genital muti-  of Appeals cases like Has-  Court  clarified  many  years  CFR 1208.13(b)(1) provide
                                                                  san and Mohammed v.     ago in INS v. Cardoza-Fon-  that a victim of past perse-
                                                                  Gonzales, 400 F.3d 385   seca, 408 U.S. 421 (1987),  cution  benefits  from  a  pre-
                                                                  (9th Cir. 2005), would   that “to show a “well found-  sumption of a well-founded
                                                                  exist whether the BIA   ed fear of persecution,” an  fear  of  future  persecution,
                                                                  acknowledged  them  or   alien need not prove that it  there will be many cases in
                                                                  not. Upon further analy-  is more likely than not that  which it will not make sense
                                                                  sis, however, this excep-  he or she will be persecuted  to require a (previously per-
                                                                  tion for asylum claims   in his or her home country.”  secuted) asylum applicant to
                                                                  based on FGM exposes    Rather, “a showing of a ten  make any statistical showing
                                                                  why the overall holding   percent likelihood of perse-  at all. Moreover, a conflation
                                                                  of K-E-S-G- does not    cution could suffice to estab-  of likelihood of persecution
                                                                  make sense.             lish that an applicant’s fear is  with the particularity of a
                                                                      The BIA says of     well-founded.” Kyaw Zwar  particular social group is po-
                                                                  Hassan that the Eighth   Tun v. INS, 445 F.3d 554, 565  tentially problematic to begin
                                                                  Circuit there “held that   (2d Cir. 2006) (citing Cardo-  with, since the evaluation of
                                                                  “Somali females” was a   za-Fonseca, 408 U.S. at 431).  a particular social group and
                                                                  particular social group   Ordinarily,  of  course,  one  the evaluation of likelihood
                                                                  because of the preva-   cannot quantify a likelihood  of persecution are supposed
                                                                  lence—98 percent—of     of persecution with statistical  to be different stages of the
                                                                  female  genital  muti-  certainty, but the basic point  asylum analysis. But even if
                                                                  lation in the country.”   remains: the chance of per-  we accept that an approxi-
                                                                  Matter of K-E-S-G-, 29   secution required in order  mate statistical assessment
                     m of                                         I&N Dec. at 151 n.7.    to support an application for  may be relevant, as the BIA
          CYRUS D. MEHTA & PARTNERS PLLC                          The implication seems   asylum is much, much lower  indicates in footnote  7 of
                                                                  to be that, according to   than the 98% suggested by  K-E-S-G-, we must accompa-

          
                          
  	                            
             the BIA, other forms of   the evidence in Hassan.  ny  that  acceptance  with  the
                                                                  persecution  of  women     Given this, however, the  realization that under Car-
             	                                 
                            are not so statistical-  BIA’s basis for distinguish-  doza-Fonseca, the relevant
                                                   
             ­
               €   
              ‚                                                     ly prevalent, and that   ing Hassan and FGM while  statistical threshold is  no-
                                                                  women in other contexts   attempting to maintain an  where near the 98% at issue
                                                                  thus cannot constitute a   otherwise broad rule against  in Hassan. If, as the BIA has
                                                                  particular social group   gender as a particular social  implied in footnote 7, perse-
                                                                  even if they can consti-  group is logically unsustain-  cution of 98% of women in a
          2              6th Floor
           
     
        	
     
         
                tute a particular social   able. Under Cardoza-Fon-  particular country by means


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