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OPINION                                                                  JULY 18, 2025     |  The Indian Eye 10


               From Diffusion to Discretion:




               Contextualizing the US Pivot





                                  in Compute Control






            While the removal of AI diffusion framework may streamline the AI market and prevent international

              relations to be shadowed by quota requirements for the US, the abrupt nature of rescission creates
                                        significant uncertainty about future regulatory direction



        MEGHNA PRADHAN

              he US policies on AI are un-
              dergoing significant shift under
        Tthe Trump Administration. On
        the export side, there has been a sud-
        den rescission of the 2025 Framework
        for  Artificial  Intelligence  Diffusion,
        announcement of new guidelines for
        regulation of exports, and consider-
        ation of new laws by US legislative
        bodies  to  ensure  US  regulated  and
        exported  chips  can  be  safeguarded.
        Domestically, there are talks of rene-
        gotiation of the conditions, or even
        cancellation,  of  grants  given  under                                                                          Courtesy: IDSA
        the CHIPS and Science Act 2022.
        These changes have major implica-
        tions for American leadership in AI   hands of our adversaries’.    used for cognitive electronic warfare,   of advanced ICs and related com-
        and allied industries.                                              radar, signals intelligence, and jam-  modities that are subject to export
            On 13 May 2025, the US De-             NEW POLICY               ming.                             restrictions.  It  essentially  identifies
        partment of Commerce announced          DIRECTIVES FOR AI                   BIS Policy Statement on Con-  certain transactional and behavioral
        an abrupt rescission  of the 2025                                   trols that May Apply to Advanced   ‘red flags’, such as a spike in orders,
        Framework for Artificial Intelligence      hile there is no clarity on   Computing Integrated Circuits and   unknown end-user locations, etc.,
        Diffusion, mere two days before its        what the AI strategy ref-  Other Commodities Used to Train   that may indicate illegal diversions,
        compliance requirements were to  Werenced by Kessler would          AI Models outlines that exporting,   and recommends enhanced due dil-
        become effective. The Framework   look like, new policy developments   re-exporting, or transferring ad-  igence actions to prevent the same. It
        for AI Diffusion, introduced in Janu-  have emerged as a potential substi-  vanced computing ICs and related   also mentions a license requirement
        ary 2025 by the Biden-Harris admin-  tute to fulfil the intent of the AI Dif-  commodities for AI training will   under the ‘catch-all controls’ when
        istration in order to regulate global   fusion Framework. Firstly, the Bu-  require licensing, if there is “knowl-  there is ‘knowledge’ that the ICs will
        AI market and prevent US-regulated   reau of Industry and Security (BIS)   edge” they’ll support military-intel-  be used for a WMD or military intel-
        Graphics Processor Units (GPUs)   has announced three ‘guidance’ with   ligence or development of Weapons   ligence end use/user, particularly in
        falling to adversarial hands, was   respect to AI export policy on 13 May   of Mass Destruction (WMD) as end   Country Group D:5 (including Chi-
        deemed ‘ill-conceived and coun-   2025, viz.                        use, specifically in any of the Coun-  na) or Macau.
        terproductive’. Its features such as       Guidance on Application of   try Group D:5 (including China) or   At the same time, a new bill
        worldwide license requirement for   General Prohibition 10 (GP10) to   Macau. The licensing obligation in-  has been introduced by a bipartisan
        certain high-performance advanced   People’s  Republic  of  China  (PRC)   cludes  Infrastructure-as-a-Service  group of eight lawmakers in the U.S.
        computing GPUs was also said to   Advanced-Computing    Integrated  providers,  in-country  transfers,  as   House of Representatives.
        have ‘undermined U.S. diplomatic   Circuits (ICs) creates restrictions on   well as all US persons involved in   The Chip Security Act calls for
        relations with dozens of countries   usage of high compute ICs manufac-  support activity. Non-compliance   measures that may help US main-
        by downgrading them to second-tier   tured in China (with specific exam-  to the guidance may lead to civil or   tain leadership in global AI, while
        status’. Jeffery Kessler, Under Secre-  ple given of Huawei Ascend series),   criminal proceedings, as well as in-  ensuring the AI developments re-
        tary of Commerce for Industry and   as these chips are used by PRC for   clusion in BIS ‘Entity list’.  main concomitant to US interests. It
        Security, stated that there would be a   military modernization efforts to im-      Industry Guidance to Prevent   has provisions to prevent chips leak
        ‘bold, inclusive strategy to American   prove the speed and accuracy of its   Diversion of Advanced Computing   into wrong hands (through measures
        AI technology with trusted foreign   military decision making, planning,   Integrated Circuits covers guide-  like GPS or other on-chip beacon
        countries around the world, while   and logistics, as well as of its autono-  lines for industries to help them   embedded in the chip). It also has
        keeping the technology out of the   mous military systems, such as those   detect and prevent illegal diversion   Continued on next page... >>


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