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OPINION                                                                  JUNE 02, 2023  |    The Indian Eye 12



        to  disrupt  the  peace  in  the  capital
        city, Imran quietly earned a political
        gravitas  unparalleled  in  recent  his-
        tory of Pakistan. The last time one
        had seen such crowds was in the late
        1960s when Zulfikar Ali Bhutto had
        left  Ayub’s  cabinet  and  floated  his
        political party, unassisted by the mil-
        itary, of course.
            The  popularity  he  commands
        has spoilt Imran, and he has devel-
        oped  a  ‘God  complex’  many  Paki-
        stani  observers  would  say.  Neither
        he  nor  his  supporters  consider  it
        indecent and improper, leave alone
        illegitimate,  for  Imran  to  have  en-
        gaged  in  financial  bungling/corrup-
        tion in the twin cases of Toshakha-
        na and Al Qadir Trust. For him and
        his  constituency,  he  cannot  do  any
        wrong.

        The  culture of  insolence  that
        Imran Khan has unleashed and

        normalized in Pakistan has              Pakistan appears more fragile than ever before. The army looks much weakened, perhaps as weak as it was in 1971 (File photo)
        taken civility away from Paki-
        stani politics. Unfortunately,    NAB,  might  have  emboldened  Im-  Sharif government over the issue of   the ‘army’ as an institution. He was
                                                                            elections in Punjab and Khyber Pakh-
                                                                                                              the  most  timid  and  cooperative  as
                                          ran’s supporters further.
        he seems to be dictating the          This is perfect recipe for disaster.   tunkhwa with the vehemence he was   a prime minister vis-à-vis the army,
        terms of political discourse to-  Pakistan  appears  more  fragile  than   showing weeks ago. Imran is demon-  when he was in office, until he sensed
                                                                                                              that the top leadership would not en-
                                          ever  before.  The  army  looks  much
                                                                            strating  a  fear  psychosis  about  his
        day, and his opponents, includ-   weakened, perhaps as weak as it was   possible rearrest which is unbecom-  gineer majority support behind him
        ing the army top-brass, have      in 1971. The judiciary looks wobbly.   ing  of  a  rabble-rousing  mass  lead-  in the assembly any more. He was ap-
                                          The political culture of Pakistan has   er that he is. So are his henchmen.  prehensive that the new Chief would
        unwittingly been sucked into  turned  for  the  worse  and  certainly   Does it mean, things shall soon   not be favorable towards him.
                                                                                                                  Imran’s  anxiety  is  likely  to  go
        a high-voltage political specta-  not  conducive  for  democratic  pol-  fall  back  into  place?  Will  the  army   down  once  he  is  assured  of  a  chief
                                          itics. All this is happening at a time
                                                                            be  able  to  enforce  its  authority  all
        cle, centered around him.         when  Pakistan  is  faced  with  the   over again in Pakistani politics? Will   who would not unsettle him. He may
                                          possibility  of  economic  default  and   Imran now agree to elections in Oc-  not, however, be interested in bring-
            In  the  meantime,  the  former   increasing  attacks  from  insurgent   tober,  even  though  the  next  Chief   ing in civilian supremacy that would
        army  chief  General  Bajwa  has  re-  groups  from  within.  One  of  these,   Justice of Pakistan (CJP) who would   antagonize the army, as an institution.
        portedly  confessed  that  when  he   the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP)   assume office on 16 September, will   His  sympathizers  within  the  army,
        discovered  Imran  was  becoming  a   claims it has an alternate Islamic Sha-  be  somebody  (read  Qazi  Faez  Isa)   who  are  rumored  to  be  propelling
        headache  for  Pakistan  and  decided   ria-based blue-print for Pakistan and   who may not be as brazenly pro-Im-  his rant against the present chief and
        to  withdraw  army’s  support  from   wages an open war against the army.  ran  as  the  current  one  (Atta  Ban-  his men, would possibly ensure that.
        him, he committed a mistake by not    Will  Pakistan  be  able  to  mud-  dial)? Will Imran agree to it if he is   Pakistan  is  condemned  to  pass
        informing and explaining the army’s   dle through? It seems the army has   assured that there would be free and   through a whole array of uncertain-
        position  to  the  media.  Perhaps,  it   decided to act, after 9 May. A tenta-  fair  elections?  What  will  happen  if   ties  in  the  days  to  come.  A  strong
        was too late for him to do so. Fran-  tive political consensus seems to be   Imran  were  to  be  disqualified  like   government with the will and capac-
        kenstein might have sensed that the   emerging now that the acts of vandal-  Nawaz after the new CJP takes over?   ity  for  transforming  the  nature  of
        monster  of  support  behind  Imran   ism by Imran’s supporters were un-  Will the army take over if it leads to   politics in Pakistan can only ensure a
        Khan had acquired an independent   called for. Imran’s close aide Fawad   chaos again?                way out of the crisis it is in.
        life of its own.                  has already condemned it and Imran    In  all  likelihood,  if  Imran  de-
            The events in Pakistan over the   has obliquely criticized it too. Some   cides to wait it out till October with-  Ashok K. Behuria is Senior Fellow at
        last few weeks show that a spectrum   of the PTI workers have left the par-  out  antagonizing  the  establishment   Manohar Parrikar Institute for De-
        of vandalism and license haunts the   ty over this issue. Whether the army   further,  he  is  likely  to  reap  a  good   fense Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
        country  today.  The  way  the  unruly   has read the riot act or not, to some   electoral harvest. The most pertinent   Views expressed are of the author and
        crowd  broke  into  the  official  resi-  extent,  the  attack  on  armed  forces   question to ask here is, if he returns   do not necessarily reflect the views of
        dences of two corps commanders in   has at least induced some sympathy   to  power,  will  he  de-notify  the  cur-  the Manohar Parrikar IDSA or of the
        Lahore and Karachi on 9 May 2023,   among  the  power  elite  now,  which   rent  army  chief’s  appointment  and   Government of India.
        and  attacked  the  air  force  base  in   includes the judiciary.  pick a new one? Will this (in case he
        Mianwali  clearly  demonstrated  that   The Chief Justice, after extend-  does it) result in civilian supremacy   This article first appeared in the Com-
        the Djin had gone out of the bottle.   ing  unrestrained  welcome  to  Imran   in Pakistan?             ments section of the website (www.
        The support Imran received from the   during  his  hearing  after  his  arrest,   The last of these questions may   idsa.in) of Manohar Parrikar Institute
        judiciary,  which  nullified  his  arrest   seems  to  be  sobering  up  and  not   not  be  difficult  to  answer.  Imran   for Defense Studies and Analyses, New
        on  Al-Qadir  Trust  case  initiated  by   pursuing  cases  against  the  Shehbaz   has  not  ever  trained  his  guns  on   Delhi on May 22, 2023


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