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NATION                                                                         MAY 28, 2021  |    The Indian Eye                          10





                  How the pandemic has exposed




         the cracks and fault-lines in India’s





                                       economy and society






              Beijing has reportedly built an entire town, replete with roads and office buildings,

            inside Bhutan; China eyeing more influence in Afghanistan as US prepares to leave





        S GOpal purI                                                                                                  the average income in the fu-
                                                                                                                      ture. Today it is  only 50%. In
        New Delhi/Chandigarh                                                                                          2050, the population might be

                OVID-19 has exposed                                                                                   higher than in China as the pop-
                the  Indian  economy                                                                                  ulation growth is an increase of
        Cto various uncertain-                                                                                        1% per year.
        ties now. People have lost jobs;
        businesses are facing losses and                                                                              the government needs to
        loans in the banks are unpaid
        as people are unable to pay in-                                                                               develop more  india and
        stallments now. In 2017 a study                                                                               attract investments with
        of the University of Harvard re-
        vealed that India is the country                                                                              some major projects like
        with the fastest growing econ-                                                                                bharatmala:  road, high-
        omy that can overtake China.
        As per researchers India would                                                                                way, express highway proj-
        have been be the “World’s Eco-                                                                                ect,  sagarmala:  estab-
        nomic  Heart” because of the
        variety  of  new  fields  explored                                                                            lishing  coastal  economic
        by India: Chemicals, vehicles &                                                                               Zones, Mega port: example
        electronics.
            But this COVID has turned                                                                                 of the trivandrum interna-
        out to be an “importunate”                                                                                    tional seaport (under con-
        event because they were far
        from the pandemic, which             Migrants carry their belongings as they leave for their native places amid   struction), dholera and Gift
        would upset forecasts or just                         the second wave of the pandemic (ANI)                   city:  construction of new
        slow them down. According
        to the International Monetary           Before the pandemic, it was  casts. The Pandemic strong-              green and smart cities and
        Funds, the pandemic will re- estimated that by 2030 the cit- ly impacted all the  currencies                  navi Mumbai program:  a
        shape the whole India economy.  ies will be the heart of the eco- in the world, the USD is now
            They predict its decrease  nomic growth for the country.  weaker.  This  can  be  a  benefit              new international airport.
        because  people  fled  the  cities  However, with the rural exodus  for the Indian rupee.
        and became unemployed. The  because of the pandemic, this                    With the growth of the GDP          The expected growth is now
        government’s plan from April  future is uncertain.                       (Gross domestic product) we          well and still challenged because
        2021 is to privatize some large         India is one of the most dy- think that the rupee should go           of the pandemic.  Many people
        companies like Air India. This  namic countries in the World  through  many  difficult  times,                lost their jobs and they need to
        income from privatization was  mostly because the recent gov- some “years of weakness”.  In                   find how to earn incomes.
        to be spent in the health care  ernment has reduced taxes and  spite of that, the economy of                     Jayati Ghosh, Chair  of  the
        sector.                              wanted to open India with For- India  should  recover  from  the         Center of Economic Studies and
            But till May 1st, 2021 only  eign investment.                        effects of the pandemic and the      Planning at Jawaharlal Nehru
        1.7% of the population is fully         The rupee is a risk currency  future should be with “no seri-         University in Delhi said in state-
        vaccinated (24 million of peo- but the USD/INR is still bullish:  ous headwinds” as it foreseen               ment: “The best-case scenario is
        ple). It is the first step to count- With the development of the  for the currency.                           two years of very deep econom-
        er-attack the pandemic and  country, the economy should                      According to the forecasts:      ic decline”
        hope for future growth.              grow as per the Economic Fore- 80% of households might earn                 Continued on next page... >>


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