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OPINION                                                            FEBRUARY 03, 2023  |      The Indian Eye 11



        listic missile operations, Bases 67–69                                                                storage capacities and maintenance,
        are  meant  for  support  operations.                                                                 repair and overhaul (MRO) will be
        While Base 67 is responsible for over-                                                                streamlined.
        seeing the nuclear stockpile, Base 68                                                                     A clear segregation of assets
        is charged with engineering and phys-                                                                 between the IRF and  SFC will also
        ical infrastructure. Base 69, which is                                                                address the paranoia generated by
        the latest, is concerned with personnel                                                               certain security studies scholars re-
        training and missile tests.                                                                           garding India’s “counterforce temp-
            Out of the operational missile                                                                    tations”. India’s stated policy is still
        bases, most face eastwards and most                                                                   of no-first-use (NFU) envisioning nu-
        missiles are against Taiwan, with lon-                                                                clear weapons as political instruments
        ger range missiles threatening Amer-                                                                  and  has  steadfastly  remained  so.  To
        ican military bases in Guam. Base 64,                                                                 preclude any actor from misidentify-
        headquartered in the western Chinese                                                                  ing any conventional strikes as nucle-
        city of Lanzhou covers North West                                                                     ar or ‘bolt-out-of-the-blue’, it is criti-
        and North Central China. It consists                                                                  cal that there is a marked and visible
        of seven missile brigades, out of which                                                               segregation of delivery platforms. The
        at least four are road-mobile nuclear                                                                 conventional theory of deterrence in-
        ICBM brigades, one a dual nucle-                                                                      volves a judicious combination of the
        ar-conventional intermediate range                                                                    three Cs, i.e., capability, credibility
        ballistic missile (IRBM) brigade and                                                                  and communication.
        two brigades of unknown missile type.                                                                     Communication involves sig-
            The brigades are based at Korla,   A flight-test of indigenously developed   Defense Research and Development   nalling especially to the adversary.
        Xining, Yinchuan, Hancheng, Han-    conventional Surface-to-Surface missile   Organization successfully flight tests New   There should be no grey zone in dis-
        zhong  and  Tianshui. The  missiles                                                                   tinguishing the missiles that are kept
        possibly include DF-26 IRBM (range   ‘Pralay’ off the coast of Odisha (ANI)  Generation Agni P Ballistic Missile (ANI)  for conventional strikes from the nu-
        5000 km), DF-31 (range 7200–8000                                                                      clear-tipped ones. The creation of the
        km), DF-31 AG (likely range 11200   strike damage assessment (PSDA).   Artillery, the IRF can become India’s   SFC was essentially for operational-
        km), DF-41 (range 12000–13000 km)   A similar use was made by the PLA   answer to extend its conventional de-  izing India’s ‘massive retaliation’ nu-
        and some unknown missile types —all   during its exercises around the Taiwan   terrence posture beyond the conven-  clear strategy. It is therefore essential
        can cover the entire frontage of the   strait. Artificial intelligence (AI) and   tional range of its artillery.  that the commissioning of Pralay coin-
        LAC against India.                machine learning (ML) based com-      Apart from operational command   cide with the creation of IRF separate
            There  are likely forms of com-  mand and control (C2) systems can be   and control, it is necessary that there   from SFC, followed by shifting of the
        mand and control of an emerging IRF   used  for  effectively  matching  targets   is a clear segregation between launch   rocket assets into the IRF.
        in the Indian context. The structure   to delivery platforms.       platforms for rockets and missile forc-  The Chinese threat along the
        of PLA RF can be considered as one    The Corps of Artillery, which cur-  es. Within the fourth vertical, while   LAC necessitates a paradigm change
        of the templates where all conven-  rently handles most of India’s missile   all ground-based launchers can be   in the Indian defense posture. While
        tional and nuclear missile forces are   and rockets systems in terms of de-  manned by Army units, air launched   a start has been made with the deploy-
        concentrated into a separate service.   ployment and training, is well-poised   vectors should be exclusively with the   ment of unmanned systems and ad-
        Another model is that of individual   to act as the core group of the new   Indian Air Force (IAF) while coastal   vanced sensors, there exists the chal-
        services having their respective mis-  IRF. It has extensive training expe-  defense and submarine launched mis-  lenge of creating a deterrent threat
        sile forces but this model may not be   rience  and  has  done  countless  firing   siles will be with the Indian Navy. This   with two aims: create a window of
        viable when theatre commands are   tests  and  deployment  exercises  with   will accomplish two things: leverage   opportunity for undertaking kinetic
        created. The third model is the inte-  these systems for a long time. With   the operational competence of each   actions without climbing the escala-
        gration of the missile units within the   cross-pollination of personnel from   Service and ensure optimization of   tion ladder and therefore putting the
        theatre commands, with the rocket   the SFC and steered by the Corps of   operational  logistics.  Issues  such  as   onus of escalation on the other side;
        and missile forces clubbed together                                                                   and creating an indigenous solution
        under a fourth component. Here, the                                                                   which can be scaled up rapidly with-
        operational command and control                                                                       out being limited to the foreign policy
        will reside with the respective service                                                               constraints of any country. The induc-
        component to facilitate planning for                                                                  tion of Pralay may become the start of
        joint operations within the theatre                                                                   an Indian IRF which addresses both
        command.                                                                                              these aims.
            Depending on the composition                                                                       Lt Col Akshat Upadhyay is Research
        and tasks of the theatre commands,                                                                    Fellow, Strategic Technologies Centre at
        the respective platforms for launch-                                                                  Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defense
        ing the missiles may be decided. Per-                                                                    Studies and Analyses, New Delhi
        sonnel  from  the  Corps  of  Artillery                                                                Views expressed are of the author and
        can initially form the core group for                                                                  do not necessarily reflect the views of
        exercising initial command and con-                                                                    the Manohar Parrikar IDSA or of the
        trol, operational training and exercis-                                                                      Government of India.
        es which will be made realistic and go
        a long way in inculcating long-range                                                                     This is an abridged version of an
        precision  fires  expertise  within  the                                                                article which of first appeared in the
        remaining two services. Inclusion of                                                                  Comments section of the website (www.
        state-of-the-art UAVs in the form of   Defense Research and Development Organization successfully flight tests New Generation   idsa.in) of Manohar Parrikar Institute
        micro and mini drones can serve as                       Agni P Ballistic Missile (ANI)               for Defense Studies and Analyses, New
        force multipliers for ISTAR and post-                                                                      Delhi on January 24, 2022


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