Page 10 - The Indian EYE 012723
P. 10

OPINION                                                              JANUARY 27, 2023  |     The Indian Eye 10


          US–Saudi Tensions: Implications





                      for the Petrodollar System







           With the emergence of Asian countries as the main consumer of petroleum products, oil is being in-
           creasingly traded in currencies other than the US dollar, even as Western states are rapidly shifting

                their energy dependence out of oil and into alternative, mainly renewable, sources of energy



        ADIL RASHEED
                 ith the US and Europe
                 becoming less  dependent
        Won West Asian oil imports
        and China and India becoming the
        main markets for GCC hydrocar-
        bons exports, the petrodollar system
        that came into existence in the 1970s
        has come under stress, with oil be-
        ing traded increasingly in non-US
        denominated currencies. The recent
        tensions between the US and Saudi
        Arabia over a range of issues, in the
        wake of the ongoing Russia–Ukraine
        war, and growing ties of GCC states
        with both Russia and China has only
        worsened problems for the petro-
        dollar system, which may potential-
        ly have serious implications for the
        global financial and economic order.


        Recent tensions between the
        United States and Saudi Ara-      petrodollar system, which for almost   Europe and increase oil produc-  Arabia to delay its decision  on  oil
                                          half a century made the US dollar   tion to ease rising petroleum pric-  output by a month, until after the
        bia, an influential member of  the standard for global trade and fi-  es during the Russia–Ukraine war.  US mid-term elections, the MBS-led
        the Organization of the Pe-       nance.                                In fact, President Biden out-  Saudi government did not relent, but
                                              At the heart of the petrodollar   lined  a  five-part  “new  framework   defended its output cut by saying all
        troleum Exporting Countries  system lies the relationship between   for the Middle East” that included   OPEC decisions are based solely on
        (OPEC) countries, in the wake     the US and Saudi Arabia, the lead-  supporting economic development   economic forecasts and needs.
                                                                            and  military security.   However,
                                                                                                                  In fact, Saudi Arabia’s Kingdom
                                          ing member state of the OPEC.
        of the ongoing Russia–Ukraine         In  2022,  tensions between  the   Saudi  Arabia  did  not  accept  de-  Holding Company invested US$
        war, has revived concerns         US and Saudi Arabia over issues re-  mands of the US and its allies to   500m in Russia’s three main ener-
                                          lated not only to production of oil,   increase oil production to  reduce   gy companies, almost at the time of
        about  new challenges to the  but also to trading of oil in US dol-  prices, and did not take up Western   the commencement of the Russia–
        so-called ‘petrodollar system’,   lars has revived fears over the future   calls to join countries putting sanc-  Ukraine war.
                                                                                                                  What is more surprising is that
                                          of the petrodollar system.
                                                                            tions on Russia. The Kingdom also
        which plays a pivotal role in the     In March 2022, relations be-  decided to side with the decision of   Saudi Arabia in 2022 more than
        functioning of the global finan-  tween the US and OPEC member      the  23-member  state OPEC Plus   doubled its import of Russian oil to
                                                                            organisation,  founded  in  2016  that
                                          states became so tense, that lead-
                                                                                                              meet its domestic requirements such
        cial and economic order.          ers of Saudi Arabia and the Unit-  includes Russia, to cut daily oil pro-  as for electricity generation, even as
                                          ed Arab Emirates (UAE) declined   duction by 2 million barrels per day.   it sold much of its costlier oil around
            With the emergence of Asian   to arrange calls with US President   This resulted in a 2 per cent reduc-  the world.
        countries as the main consumer of   Joe Biden as the US and its allies   tion in global oil supply, the biggest   This behaviour peeved Joe Biden
        petroleum products, oil is being in-  sought to contain a surge in energy   cut in the last two years. The Saudi   no end, who issued a warning to the
        creasingly traded in currencies other   prices caused by Russia’s invasion of   decision was perceived by the White   Kingdom of ‘consequences’ in early
        than the US dollar, even as Western   Ukraine.                      House and Western commentators    October last year. Similarly, Dem-
        states are rapidly shifting their ener-  This  led  to  a  flurry  of  West-  as  being  coordinated  with  Russia,   ocratic Senator Bob Menendez of
        gy dependence out of oil and into al-  ern Heads of State visiting Ri-  which currently sells more crude oil   US Senate Foreign Relations Com-
        ternative, mainly renewable, sources   yadh,  mainly  to  urge  Saudi  Ara-  than Saudi Arabia.       mittee threatened to stop the sale of
        of energy. This has weakened the   bia to stand with the US and         Even when Biden asked Saudi          Continued at next page... >>


                                                               www.TheIndianEYE.com
   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15