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BUSINESS EYE                                                         JANUARY 07, 2022  |     The Indian Eye 48










              2021 was the year of economic recovery;


            inflation and omicron may challenge 2022






           On the domestic front, progress in vaccination has enabled the recovery to regain traction
                                       after the debilitating second wave of the pandemic


                                                                                                                 Also, the gross non-performing
        OUR BUREAU
                                                                                                              asset (GNPA) ratio of scheduled
        New Delhi                                                                                             commercial banks is likely to in-
                                                                                                              crease to 9.5 per cent in September
              he Ministry of Finance has said
              India’s real GDP in has grown                                                                   2022 from 6.9 per cent in September
        Tby 8.4 per cent, thereby recov-                                                                      2021 in a severe stress scenario, the
                                                                                                              Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said
        ering over 100 per cent of the pre-pan-                                                               on Wednesday.
        demic output in the corresponding                                                                         Emerging signs of stress in mi-
        quarter of 2020. “India is among the                                                                  cro, small and medium enterprises
        few countries that have recorded four                                                                 (MSME) as also in the microfinance
        consecutive quarters of growth amid
        Covid-19 (Q3, Q4 of FY21 and Q1,                                                                      segment call for close monitoring
                                                                                                              of these portfolios going forward, it
        Q2 of FY22), reflecting the resilience                                                                said.
        of the Indian economy,” the Finance                                                                       Commodity prices, domestic in-
        Ministry report added.
                                                                                                              flation, equity price volatility, asset
                                                                                                              quality deterioration, credit growth,
        as  per the official data, 19                                                                         and cyber disruptions were rated as

        among 22 high-frequency indi-                                                                         the major risks.
                                                                                                                  In the report the RBI noted that
        cators (hfIs) in September, oc-                                                                       the global recovery has been losing
        tober and  november crossed         Opposition parties workers raise slogans during a protest against the rising inflation in the   momentum in the second half of
                                                                                                              2021, impacted by resurgence of in-
        their pre-pandemic levels in the                          country in New Delhi (ANI)                  fections in several parts of the world,

        corresponding months of 2019.      stakes for success in hospitality to-  losing  momentum  in  the  second   supply disruptions and bottlenecks,
                                                                                                              persistent  inflationary  pressures
        “India has not only caught up     day and in the post-pandemic future.  half of 2021 in the face of resurfac-  and shifts in monetary policy stanc-
                                              But  inflation  and  COVID-19
        with its pre-pandemic output      new variant Omicron pose major    ing COVID-19 infections, the new   es and actions across systemic ad-
                                                                            variant Omicron, supply disruptions
                                                                                                              vanced economy central banks as
        of Q2, but is also expected to    challenges  to  the  Indian  economy,  and  bottlenecks,  elevated  inflation-  also some emerging market econo-
        do so for the full year,” the re-  the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)   ary levels and shifts in monetary   mies.
                                          said on Wednesday.
                                                                                                                  On the domestic front, prog-
                                                                            policy stances and actions across
        port added.                           In the Reserve Bank’s latest Sys-  advanced economies and emerging   ress in vaccination has enabled the
                                          temic Risk Survey (SRS), all broad   market economies.              recovery to regain traction after
            The year 2021 has been a recov-  categories  of  risks  to  the  financial   On the domestic front, prog-  the debilitating second wave of the
        ery year for the hotel sector across   system  -  global;  macroeconomic;   ress in vaccination has enabled the   pandemic, notwithstanding signs of
        the world. All through the year, the   financial  market;  institutional;  and   recovery to regain traction after   slowing pace more recently; the cor-
        sector has shown resilience by nav-  general - were perceived as ‘medi-  the debilitating second wave of the   porate sector is gaining strength and
        igating through uncertainty, adapt-  um’ in magnitude, but risks arising   pandemic, notwithstanding signs of   bank credit growth is improving, the
        ing  to  an  ever-changing  environ-  on  account  of  global  and  financial   slowing pace more recently; the cor-  report said.
        ment, and persevering through the   markets were rated higher than the   porate sector is gaining strength and   During April-October 2021, all
        ups and downs on the rocky path to   rest. “Commodity prices, domes-  bank credit growth is improving.  the deficit indicators of the central
        recovery.                         tic  inflation,  equity  price  volatility,   The  Financial  Stability  Report   government exhibited improvement
            Technology adoption was mov-  asset quality deterioration, credit   (FSR) is published bi-annually and   from their pre-pandemic levels. The
        ing  fast before the pandemic.  As   growth and cyber disruptions were   includes contributions from all the   borrowing programme has proceed-
        much  as  operational  efficiencies,  a   rated as the major risks,” according   financial  sector  regulators.  Accord-  ed smoothly. The Indian corporate
        host of new and added capabilities   to  the  24th  issue  of  the  Financial   ingly,  it  reflects  the  collective  as-  sector has gained strength and resil-
        has been  key  to  touchless  transac-  Stability Report (FSR) released by   sessment of the Sub Committee of   ience through the pandemic and key
        tions  necessary  for  guest  and  staff   the RBI.                 the Financial Stability and Develop-  financial parameters of listed non-fi-
        safety and safety compliance. These   The central bank noted that the   ment  Council  (FSDC-SC)  on  risks   nancial private companies indicate
        solutions increasingly are table   global economic recovery has been   to financial stability.        improvement.


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